9-20-19 South Dakota: Looking into the threat of severe storms this evening.V.

9-20-19 South Dakota: Looking into the threat of severe storms this evening.V.

Good Friday Evening! Here is your latest video forecast update: http://youtu.be/sSDgYpbHCiM?hd=1 Current look at radar: Current severe thunderstorm watch until 10 PM CT for counties outlined in blue: Current severe thunderstorm watch until 1 AM MT for the counties outlined in blue: Simulated radar from 8 PM CT this evening until 8 AM CT tomorrow morning: Simulated radar form 9 AM CT tomorrow morning until 6 PM CT tomorrow evening: Highs tomorrow: Total precipitation guidance out through 9 AM CT tomorrow morning: Please let us know if you have any questions! Have a great rest of your evening! 
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9-20-19 Northern Plains:  Discussing the severe weather threat today.  MG.

9-20-19 Northern Plains: Discussing the severe weather threat today. MG.

Good morning!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/HULOOI0kq3k?hd=1 Simulated radar from 10 AM today through 9 AM tomorrow morning. Modeled precipitation out though 9 AM tomorrow morning. Severe weather threat for today. Simulated radar from 10 AM tomorrow through 9 AM Sunday. Modeled rainfall totals from 9 AM Saturday through 9 AM Sunday. Wind forecast guidance over the next 4 days. Temperature Outlook. Precipitation Outlook. Temperature Charts over the next 10 days: North Dakota: Crosby: Jamestown: Fargo: South Dakota: Pierre: Mobridge: Sioux Falls: Minnesota: Minneapolis: Rochester: Worthington: Grand Rapids:
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9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

Don't forget to sign-up for our official client winter webinar Wed, Oct 9th at 11amET here! BAMwx.com/client-webinar/ Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNILHwAEFEs&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Notable warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 5 – 8F above normal.  Keeping an eye on the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda that brought up to 32”+ of rain in Texas and will bring rain up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later this week. Any cold fronts in the next week or two look to have…
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*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?* This afternoon ive been looking over some of our analogs that involve a similar MJO pattern to 2019 aka tropical forcing. One thing im growing increasingly concerned with is the possibility that MJO can stall out in phase 1 which has a statistically high correlation to very wet weather here in the Midwest in October. This pattern is actually somewhat very similar to Oct 2018. What catches my attention is these particular phases of the MJO are also notorious for Atlantic tropical activity and all it takes is 1 storm…
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9-19-19 Northern Plains: Dry today… widespread rainfall risks increase Friday into Saturday. B.

9-19-19 Northern Plains: Dry today… widespread rainfall risks increase Friday into Saturday. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/Susz4xQYnpo?hd=1 24 Hour Rainfall:  Rainfall Through 3PM Tomorrow: 24 Hour Rainfall Totals Friday 7 AM - Saturday 7 AM:  Total precipitation through Monday evening:  Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook:  Wind Panel for the next 4 Days: Temperature Data:  North Dakota: Crosby:  JamestownFargoSouth Dakota:  Pierre MobridgeSioux FallsMinnesota: Worthington Grand RapidsMinneapolisRochester
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9-18-18 North Dakota/ South Dakota:  Discussing rain chances Friday and Saturday.  MG.

9-18-18 North Dakota/ South Dakota: Discussing rain chances Friday and Saturday. MG.

Good Morning!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/GWmTTqA8tQQ?hd=1 Current look at the radar as of 9:48 AM. Past 24 hour rainfall accumulations: Simulated radar from 11 PM today through 2 AM Thursday. Modeled precipitation totals out through 2 AM Thursday. Simulated radar from 12 AM Friday through 7 PM Friday. Simulated radar from 7 PM Friday through 3 PM Sunday. Severe weather risk for Friday. Estimated precipitation accumulation out through 7 PM Sunday. Wind guidance over the next 4 days: Temperature Charts over the next 10 days: North Dakota: Crosby: Fargo: Jamestown: South Dakota: Mobridge: Pierre: Sioux Falls:
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9-17-19 North Dakota/ South Dakota: Discussing storm risks out through Wednesday evening.V.

9-17-19 North Dakota/ South Dakota: Discussing storm risks out through Wednesday evening.V.

Good Tuesday afternoon! Please watch the video for the latest thoughts on the forecast for your Wednesday Here is your latest short term video update: http://youtu.be/J_bMk4_XaWk?hd=1 A current look at radar: Simulated radar from 10 PM CT this evening until 10 AM CT tomorrow morning: We favor the areas in dark green to see the best chance at a stronger storm or two overnight/ early AM: Modeled precipitation totals out though 7 PM CT tomorrow evening: Wind gusts tomorrow- gusts of 35+ not out of the question in N.D.: Highs tomorrow: Please let us know if you have any questions by reaching out…
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9-17-19 Northern Plains: Discussing a more active pattern heading into the weekend.V.

9-17-19 Northern Plains: Discussing a more active pattern heading into the weekend.V.

Good Tuesday Morning! Here is your latest video update: http://youtu.be/iex2N5jnpFs?hd=1 Current look at radar: Rainfall estimates from 9 AM CT Mon - 9 AM CT Today: Simulated radar from 11 AM CT this morning until 7 PM CT this evening: Sim radar from 11 PM CT this evening until 11 AM CT tomorrow morning: Precip totals out through Thursday evening at 7 PM CT: Watching for the risk of severe weather Friday for the area in yellow: Precip from Thursday evening until Saturday evening: Precip guidance out through Saturday evening: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Temperature data: North…
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*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20*

*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20* Today we wanted to share with you what our current research is telling us for the upcoming Winter season. As always outlooks in September are largely up for grabs but the things we look at today are more from a historical analog stand point. Please be sure to register for the Winter outlook webinar exclusive to paying clients Wed Oct 9th 11am EDT. Register here: https://bamwx.com/client-webinar/ Click here for the PDF of our Prelim Winter 19-20.
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9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

***No updated video today...we've been working full-steam ahead on winter research this morning and will be sending out a separate update later today on our lates findings for review. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Major warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 8 – 12F above normal.  Keeping an eye on a tropical disturbance that will bring rain into Texas and up into the Eastern Plains later this week.  Any cold fronts in the next week or…
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