3-21-19 Long-range: Breaking down the model volatility late March into April w/ updated research & analysis. K.

3-21-19 Long-range: Breaking down the model volatility late March into April w/ updated research & analysis. K.

Agriculture, becks, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ZUltzqrUE&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 3-21-19 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Still looking at a big shot of cold air early next week as the tropospheric polar vortex dives towards the Hudson Bay and allows cold air to spill south into the Eastern US. It’s worth noting that latest data has backed off on the intensity of the cold blast – something to watch moving forward.  Big storm system next week in the Plains which will pump warmth in the Eastern Ag Belt and northeast with another cold shot of air behind that storm. …
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3-18-19 Full Ag Analysis: Inactive pattern this week. Detailed analysis of temperature, precipitation trends into late-March. B.

3-18-19 Full Ag Analysis: Inactive pattern this week. Detailed analysis of temperature, precipitation trends into late-March. B.

Agriculture, becks, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, States, Texas, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOOesSClSnM&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 3-18 Long-Range Analysis Very inactive period over the next 5-7 days for much of the Ag Belt with the only area receiving much above normal rainfall in the desert southwest.  Overall, the Bering Sea isn’t suggestive of a super active pattern into late March and April. A couple of big system and a relatively consistent jet stream likely helps keeps the heart of the country from California, the Plains and the Ohio Valley slightly wetter than normal, but we aren’t anticipate a deluge like the previous more active…
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3-14-19 Long-range: Updated data & research on a potential pattern moderation late March into April. K.

3-14-19 Long-range: Updated data & research on a potential pattern moderation late March into April. K.

Agriculture, becks, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l13bPLzkWM8&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 3-14-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Blizzard conditions continue in parts of the Northern Plains this morning. Widespread strong winds across the Ag Belt today associated with the record strong long pressure system in the Central Plains.  The SPC has issued and enhanced risk of Severe Weather for parts of the Ohio and Tennessee Valley areas today. Favorable upper/lower level jet streams favor an increased risk for severe weather. Check out local updates for more detailed information on the severe weather risk.  Colder and drier pattern follows this…
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3-11-19 Long-range: Strong system to move thru the central US this week…breaking down updated April forecasts today as well. M.

3-11-19 Long-range: Strong system to move thru the central US this week…breaking down updated April forecasts today as well. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGygX2T3Cpg&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 3-11-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: If we were to end March today, we would be the coldest month on record by about a whole degree. The main focus this week will be mid-week with a very robust low pressure system targeted to make its way into the central US…bringing more blizzard-like conditions to the northern Plains, strong storms to the South and very warm conditions to the eastern third of the Country for a time. Beyond this system we definitely look to dry things out where we’ve…
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3-7-19 Long-range: Staying very active this weekend into next week…highlighting the late March/early April pattern evolution. K.

3-7-19 Long-range: Staying very active this weekend into next week…highlighting the late March/early April pattern evolution. K.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
***No updated long-range video analysis today as the pattern continues to progress moving forward pretty much spot on with how we've mentioned all week. Below is yesterday's video to highlight all that we've discussed this make. However, please make sure to check out the updated slides below, which also includes our updated thoughts on how the pattern progresses late March into early April. Have a blessed day -Kirk Yesterday's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0teDEFabkY&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link to open in HD): 3-7-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Weak system brings light snow for parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley today.  Warmer…
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3-4-19 Long-range: Record cold to start off the week…sharing latest research on mid-to-late March pattern moderation potential. K.

3-4-19 Long-range: Record cold to start off the week…sharing latest research on mid-to-late March pattern moderation potential. K.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: http://youtu.be/JW2_BRGrWWY?hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in higher definition): 3-4-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Will need to watch a clipper system on Thursday that could drop snow across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. Discrepancies remain between data, so be sure to stay tuned to local updates. A stronger storm will develop this weekend and pump warmer air into the Eastern US. Many areas will see a big swing in temperatures this week from brutally cold today to more mild temperatures this weekend. Widespread record cold temperature this morning for a large swath of the…
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2-28-19 Long-range: Breaking down our final March forecast today and the risks heading into meteorological spring. M.

2-28-19 Long-range: Breaking down our final March forecast today and the risks heading into meteorological spring. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://youtu.be/2J47zWvfNEE PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-28-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Winter Storm likely on Sunday from the Plains to the Ohio Valley into the Northeastern US. Some areas could pick up a decent swath of accumulating snow. Be sure to stay tuned to local updates for more details.  Very cold air will dive into the US next week and lead to widespread record cold temperatures Sunday through Tuesday. This cold will also suppress precipitation to the south so a drier period is possible briefly following the Sunday system.  However, as you can…
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2-25-19 Long Range: Potential record heating demand next 14 days. Analyzing when cold breaks down here. B.

2-25-19 Long Range: Potential record heating demand next 14 days. Analyzing when cold breaks down here. B.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, States, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Today's Video:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00MaY_Vhu-Y&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-25 Long-Range Analysis Forecast Blurb:  Drier pattern over the next week as colder air begins to overwhelm the country and suppress moisture. The northern stream will be active so clipper activity from the Pacific Northwest into the Western Plains will continue.  Strong storm systems won’t likely pick back up until the pattern begins to relax with perhaps an increased wintry threat late the 1st week of March with increasing rain/severe risks in the second week of March.  Widespread well below normal temperatures this week and next week as…
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2-21-19 Long-range: Targeting widespread cold into early March + updated research on potential pattern flip ahead as well. K.

2-21-19 Long-range: Targeting widespread cold into early March + updated research on potential pattern flip ahead as well. K.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, States, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
***No updated video analysis today as it would be repeating our exact thoughts from yesterday's forecast. Make sure to check out the notes slides below for our updated thoughts regarding the pattern heading into March. Have a blessed day! Wednesday's long-range video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sWbee3T9EG4&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-21-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Enhanced Risk of Severe Weather for Saturday across the Missouri, Tennessee and Ohio Valley regions.  Primary threat will be damaging winds with storms, but a few tornadoes are also possible.  Very strong winds are likely behind this storm system for Sunday with…
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2-18-19 Long-range: Discussing increasing risks for a very up-and-down pattern heading into March + early thoughts on severe weather potential. M.

2-18-19 Long-range: Discussing increasing risks for a very up-and-down pattern heading into March + early thoughts on severe weather potential. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bGfUWVGakk&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-18-19 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Two strong storm systems to track this one across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. One will likely lead to the risk of strong storms on Saturday Night for parts of the Mississippi and Ohio Valley.  The BSR and SOI both support a plethora of storm systems to close out February and enter March.  These storm systems will help keep the southeastern US generally warmer than normal.  However, related to a +EAMT event, the Pacific Jet likely extends and leads to at least…
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