3-22-18 Long Range: Ensemble guidance in support of cooler risks into April + latest update on drought conditions. B.

3-22-18 Long Range: Ensemble guidance in support of cooler risks into April + latest update on drought conditions. B.

*No video today due to weekend winter storm... please refer to yesterday's video*:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CO466Gy9Oo Today's Slides:  3-22-18 Long-Range Analysis
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3-22-18 Ohio: Latest details regarding accumulating snow southwest Saturday! K.

3-22-18 Ohio: Latest details regarding accumulating snow southwest Saturday! K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/dKQSJx7OqxQ?hd=1 Today's weather will be quiet with temps in the upper 30s to lower 40s and widespread sunshine...we do think there will be a risk for widespread frost getting into Friday morning given the clear skies, calm winds and chilly temps in the lower 20s on avg: Winter storm watches hoisted already for accumulating snow into Saturday...there is a risk these shift slightly further south if the high pressure to the north flexes slightly stronger and vice versa: The reason why we have higher confidence this disturbance steers right into the Ohio Valley is 2 things shown below...high pressure…
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3-21-18 Ohio: Accumulating snow continues this morning…eyeing another potential winter storm this weekend? K.

3-21-18 Ohio: Accumulating snow continues this morning…eyeing another potential winter storm this weekend? K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/C36kbdz0Bdk?hd=1 Current snowfall totals as of 5amEDT...the center of the low pressure inched a couple county rows further north than discussed yesterday, which in result created lesser snowfall totals for ~Columbus: Simulated radar guidance from the HRRR model through the remainder of the event today...locations south of Columbus look to warm above freezing, can't rule out some areas hitting near 40 across south-central Ohio where the void of precip has been today so far and mixing with light rain showers at times, but still some moderate to heavy wet snow possible today slowly working north to south as…
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3-20-18 Ohio: Targeting accumulating snowfall later today into Wednesday…very windy conditions persist into mid-week as well. K.

3-20-18 Ohio: Targeting accumulating snowfall later today into Wednesday…very windy conditions persist into mid-week as well. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/TaWSjyBn2LI?hd=1 Current winter weather advisories through Wednesday mainly for accumulating snowfall to set up shop...we also circled an area where we feel needs to be included in the advisory given most data solutions are further north: Simulated radar solution from the latest 3km NAM model, which is handling the current freezing rain/rain on the radar, today into Wednesday...right now expecting the bulk of the snow to begin ~4-6pm east-central OH and slowly expand over the I-70 corridor and points just north/west overnight...slowly the shield of snow is expected to trek back south late morning into the afternoon hours:…
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3-19-18 Long range update. Active pattern esp for the southern US. Blocking hangs on.

3-19-18 Long range update. Active pattern esp for the southern US. Blocking hangs on. https://youtu.be/GPbGFk1rJt0
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3-19-18 Ohio: Targeting shot of accumulating snow early this week…latest details here! K.

3-19-18 Ohio: Targeting shot of accumulating snow early this week…latest details here! K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/zqzqn-U53uI?hd=1 Should be a good working day for things outdoors with temps getting into the upper 50s near 60º especially I-70 and south with sunshine as well. Winds and increased clouds pick up especially by the evening commute tonight into the overnight, where we begin to target a transition to some frozen precipitation (again, I-70 south). In the video we time everything out, but here's the area we feel from ~3-11amEDT some freezing rain and wet snowflakes start to mix in. It's important to note that there will definitely be a lag-time to any impacts on the roadways…
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3-16-18 Ohio: Targeting a wintry mix Saturday AM along/south of I-70…back half of weekend very nice weather settles in. K.

3-16-18 Ohio: Targeting a wintry mix Saturday AM along/south of I-70…back half of weekend very nice weather settles in. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/Qx6l0sm30Ac?hd=1 Latest winter weather advisories through Saturday...I think it could be slightly underdone on the southwestern front as discussed in the video: Here's our thoughts on where some freezing rain mixing in with some wet snow will be possible into Saturday morning...right now we are thinking the best timeframe is ~3-11amEDT along and south of the I-70 corridor; we need to watch for some slick spots as well if traveling in the circled area, especially on locations that are left untreated (sheltered areas, sidewalks, parking lots, bridges, overpasses and side roads mainly): Total precipitation from this will stay…
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3-15-18 Long Range: Short-term cold, but blocking looks to retreat… late-month warm risks? M.

3-15-18 Long Range: Short-term cold, but blocking looks to retreat… late-month warm risks? M.

Today's Video:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QdUasIsvbs&feature=youtu.be Today's Slides:  3-15-18 Long-Range Analysis Here's a look at the updated ENSO forecast for July... matches our thoughts of a neutral ENSO for Summer. We believe this could increase dry risks for the summer months. 
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3-15-18 Ohio: Snow showers northeast today…eyeing wintry mix possible Fri night into Sat AM…latest here! K.

3-15-18 Ohio: Snow showers northeast today…eyeing wintry mix possible Fri night into Sat AM…latest here! K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/fllxyjZ2iB4?hd=1 Northeastern parts of the state could see on and off snow flurries to snow showers late afternoon into the evening through around the morning commute Friday...at times mixing with rain given temps warming above freezing; no travel impacts or real accumulations expected: Friday night into Saturday morning we are watching for some light wintry mix to work in south of I-70, temps will be marginal around 30 or slightly higher so a few slick spots will be possible, but given that it's March and we warm up after sunrise we think the threat is ~12am-7/8am before the…
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3-14-18 Ohio: Snow flurries/showers linger into Thursday…eyeing early weekend wintry mix potential. K.

3-14-18 Ohio: Snow flurries/showers linger into Thursday…eyeing early weekend wintry mix potential. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/cIjMHD5BhcY?hd=1 Today into Thursday morning will linger around some upper-level energy (vorticity), meaning those flurries you're seeing this morning likely hang around at least through the morning into the early afternoon. Additional energy works in later tonight into early Thursday, bringing another wave of snow flurries/showers prior to the morning commute. These should be generally light, not expecting much impacts to the roadways or accumulations here: Thursday afternoon we see another wave of energy work in from the northwest to the southeast across Ohio, meaning more scattered flurries to snow showers will be likely as we warm-up throughout…
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