7-16-18 Northern Plains Forecast: Scattered storm chances for the next few days…stronger system mid-week. B.

7-16-18 Northern Plains Forecast: Scattered storm chances for the next few days…stronger system mid-week. B.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Today's video: http://youtu.be/s2_X-3uMI3w?hd=1 Good Monday morning everyone! A majority of the region is starting their day with mostly sunny skies with central SD being the exception where cloud cover hangs across the area. It will become more active across southwestern SD and possibly central SD as scattered showers and storms are expected to develop over portions of southwestern SD this afternoon and evening and push SE out of the state by early tomorrow morning. A few of these storms may be severe with damaging winds and hail. Elevated showers and storms are possible tonight along the cold front stretching from…
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7-15-18 Northern Plains Sunday Update: A more seasonable air mass builds into the region today with isolated storm chances continuing through Monday. I.

7-15-18 Northern Plains Sunday Update: A more seasonable air mass builds into the region today with isolated storm chances continuing through Monday. I.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Good Sunday morning everyone! As of 10:20am CDT there is a broken wave of showers and storms impacting portions of west-central MN extending southwest through southwest SD. HRRR Simulated radar through 8pm CDT this evening: The disturbance bringing showers and storms to portions of the area will lift eastward as the day progresses, pushing this convection into southern and eastern SD as well as central MN. Most model guidance slowly weakens this wave as it pushes eastward this afternoon and evening with only new scattered development possible (shortly after 12pm CDT) across northeast/central MN. Otherwise, I expect most rain chances…
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7-14-18 Northern Plains Saturday Update: Storm chances increase this afternoon through tonight for portions of the region…more seasonable air arrives Sunday. I.

7-14-18 Northern Plains Saturday Update: Storm chances increase this afternoon through tonight for portions of the region…more seasonable air arrives Sunday. I.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Good Saturday morning! Morning radar remains rather inactive with plentiful sunshine being observed across the vast majority of the region. Upper-level cirrus clouds over the last several hours have quickly pushed into western ND where a majority of the storm chances will exist this afternoon and evening. A cold front will push into the western Dakotas this afternoon providing enough lift given the instability in the region to initiate scattered storm development from northwest SD to north-central ND between 2-4pm CDT. Over the course of the evening these storms will push east before weakening and dissipating shortly after sunset due…
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Word to the wise. Model errors floating around on Twitter are WAY TOO COLD. M.

Word to the wise. Model errors floating around on Twitter are WAY TOO COLD. M.

Agriculture, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota
Word to the wise. Model errors floating around on Twitter are WAY TOO COLD. M. The very cold EPS model runs you're seeing on social media were programmed wrong with a MASSIVE error in climo. The ECMWF climo system the model was using had a large bug and an email has been sent to ECMWF. We have worked with Ryan Maue from weathermodels.com to get this issue fixed and we have gotten it all taken care of. This is WHY our official outlooks have never been that cold to begin with but this is something we would never give away on Twitter.…
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7-13-18 Northern Plains Forecast: Heavy rains exit the region today with additional opportunities for showers/storms over the coming days. I.

7-13-18 Northern Plains Forecast: Heavy rains exit the region today with additional opportunities for showers/storms over the coming days. I.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Good Friday morning everyone! Yesterday evening into this morning has been very wet across the southern portions of the region with widespread 0.75-2.5" of rain falling. As much as 5" of rain fell in localized areas of southeastern SD with some locations still picking up rain as of 8:40am CDT. Current radar (8:40am CDT) depicts a leftover cluster of showers and embedded thunderstorms in southeastern SD into southern MN. Over the next several hours this cluster will trek ENE, fading in intensity. Re-development of showers and storms is expected between 1-4pm CDT across the far southern portions of the region,…
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7-12-18 Northern Plains: Heavy rain, isolated severe storm risks today/tomorrow… cooler pattern next week. B.

7-12-18 Northern Plains: Heavy rain, isolated severe storm risks today/tomorrow… cooler pattern next week. B.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/Wt3sFCnrVTA?hd=1 Good Thursday morning everyone! Showers and storms continue to push to the SSE in East-Central Minnesota which produced several severe weather reports in North Central Minnesota last night:  We also have showers and storms lifting along the frontal boundary into Eastern SD and Western MN as well as the border of ND/SD. These scattered areas of precipitation likely continue into the afternoon, with a more concentrated risk of showers in the afternoon for Western SD and into Southern North Dakota:  However, the heaviest rain risks will develop in southern portions of the area in an area of…
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7-11-18 Northern Plains: Severe storm and heavy rain threats this evening into tonight in Minnesota. Details here. B.

7-11-18 Northern Plains: Severe storm and heavy rain threats this evening into tonight in Minnesota. Details here. B.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/iFiEOb73N7I?hd=1 Good Wednesday morning everyone, storms in NE Minnesota will continue to push off to the east and out of the state by the early afternoon hours:  We do have heat advisories in effect for today for much of Eastern SD and Western MN for temperatures in the upper 90s-100. We then turn our attention to severe weather chances in Northern Minnesota as thunderstorms develop between 5-7 PM this evening. Before these congeal into a line, we could see a few supercell thunderstorms which could produce a few tornadoes and large hail. Eventually the main threat becomes damaging wind…
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7-10-18 Northern Plains: Multiple rounds of storms the next few days + notable heat today/tomorrow. B.

7-10-18 Northern Plains: Multiple rounds of storms the next few days + notable heat today/tomorrow. B.

Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota
Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/_9RQ3auc9No?hd=1 Good Tuesday Morning everyone! A cluster of storms is pushing through Central Minnesota this morning. A few of the stronger storms continue to push into SW Minnesota. The main swath of rain likely continues to weaken into the early afternoon:  A line of storms develops along the front and pushes into North Dakota this evening. Damaging wind gusts are possible with this line before it starts to weaken as it progresses east:  More storms likely develop in the warm sector tomorrow in Central Minnesota. Some of these can be severe with winds, hail and isolated tornadoes possible…
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