9-6-18 IA/NE/KS Forecast: Additional rain southeast through FRI night….a nice weekend expected! N.

9-6-18 IA/NE/KS Forecast: Additional rain southeast through FRI night….a nice weekend expected! N.

Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/VkmgbWWLPaw?hd=1 We watch for additional scattered rain chances mainly south of I-80 over the next 2 days.  Scattered over Kansas, more numerous to the east particularly across southern/southeast Iowa where we need to watch for additional heavy rain/flash flood risks especially after midnight tonight through mid-afternoon Friday.  Here are the forecast radar time-stamps for Friday: Rainfall guidance over the next 60 hours....most of this would fall from today through Friday evening.   Excessive rainfall outlook tonight shows far southeast Iowa in a slight risk for excessive rainfall. 7-day rainfall: Keep in mind some of this rain has already fallen…
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9-5-18 NE/KS/MO Forecast: Heaviest rain risks shift south/east late week….details here. N.

9-5-18 NE/KS/MO Forecast: Heaviest rain risks shift south/east late week….details here. N.

Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Missouri Video: http://youtu.be/G5DHlbO7Gpw?hd=1 Kansas/Nebraska Video: http://youtu.be/CoseKghkLlY?hd=1 Excessive rainfall outlooks over the next 3 days shown below.  The heaviest focus of rain shifts into Missouri late week.  Initially, the heaviest rain risks across northern Missouri, then more widespread Friday and especially Saturday.   Latest tracks of Tropical Depression Gordon take it right through central Missouri on Saturday.   Total rainfall over the next 60 hours:  Greater risks for scattered storms into late week shifting to areas across central and eastern Kansas with much of Nebraska catching a break. Very heavy rain amounts of 3-6" (locally more) possible across northeast Missouri.  Now…
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9-4-18 MO/KS/NE Forecast:  More heavy rain threats continue over the coming days….details here. N.

9-4-18 MO/KS/NE Forecast: More heavy rain threats continue over the coming days….details here. N.

Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Missouri Video: http://youtu.be/WhipSCiFWBw?hd=1 Kansas/Nebraska Video: http://youtu.be/YY8ZqfMKm-E?hd=1 Flash Flood Watches in effect through noon today across central Kansas to southeast Nebraska for heavy rain potential on top of saturated soils: Simulated radar guidance today into Wednesday as the heavy rainfall continues in bursts. Need to watch northern Kansas, southern Nebraska and NW Missouri tonight for a potential flash flooding and very heavy rainfall scenario as discussed in the video. Wednesday the energy shifts south to central/east Kansas and western Missouri, giving Nebraska (esp. north of I-80) a break into mid-week from recent rainfall: Total rainfall guidance from the HRRR model into…
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9-2-18 NE/IA Afternoon Update: Rounds of additional heavy showers and storms to continue across the area through Tuesday morning. I.

9-2-18 NE/IA Afternoon Update: Rounds of additional heavy showers and storms to continue across the area through Tuesday morning. I.

Iowa, Nebraska
Good afternoon everyone! Scattered areas of showers and storms continue to track across portions of IA into eastern NE as of 1pm CDT. Expect this convection to continue on a northeast trajectory through the afternoon hours.  More strong to severe thunderstorms are on the table today given the moist, unstable environment. Given some recover in the atmosphere is possible through the afternoon hours, some storms may become strong, especially in southeastern NE (yellow shaded area on the left side). Given the dynamics at play later this afternoon and evening, I can't rule out damaging winds and large hail accompanying some…
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9-2-18 IA/NE Sunday Update: Active pattern with multiple rounds of heavy, strong storms expected through the remainder of the Holiday weekend. I.

9-2-18 IA/NE Sunday Update: Active pattern with multiple rounds of heavy, strong storms expected through the remainder of the Holiday weekend. I.

Iowa, Nebraska
Good morning everyone! We are currently tracking an area of scattered heavy showers and storms across portions of eastern NE into western/central IA as of 6:40am CDT. Expect this convection to continue on an ENE trajectory through the morning hours. An area of showers and storms from western KS is also beginning to lift into southern NE. More strong to severe thunderstorms are on the table today given the moist, unstable environment. Due to plentiful morning clouds and convection, this likely won't be a widespread severe weather threat but with the dynamics at play through the day, I can't rule…
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9-1-18 Central Plains Afternoon Update: Eyeing an additional round of heavy, strong storms this evening into tonight across portions of the area. I.

9-1-18 Central Plains Afternoon Update: Eyeing an additional round of heavy, strong storms this evening into tonight across portions of the area. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good afternoon everyone! The heavy batch of rain that plagued portions of IA this morning has essentially cleared the area while a some isolated shower and storm activity persists across southern NE, northern KS, and northern MO. Current radar as of 12:40pm CDT:  More areas of heavy, strong storms are once again likely as a stalled frontal boundary sits over the central portions of the region. These storms will have a severe weather threat attached to them through the evening and likely during the overnight hours. There is some early afternoon cloud cover across portions of the risk area, but…
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9-1-18 Central Plains Saturday Update: Multiple rounds of heavy, strong storms expected through the holiday weekend into next week. I.

9-1-18 Central Plains Saturday Update: Multiple rounds of heavy, strong storms expected through the holiday weekend into next week. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
***If you received a special update this morning, be sure to check out the video that comes attached to that update!*** Good morning everyone! We are continuing to track a very heavy rain producer across the state of IA as of 8:25am CDT. Some scattered shower and storm development is also occurring in northern MO while energy hanging back across western KS into south-central NE is sparking areas of showers and storms. The main feature in IA will continue to affect mostly the central and eastern portions of the state through the morning before gradually lifting out of the area…
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9-1-18 NE/MO/IA/IL Special Update: A complex of very heavy storms working through portions of the region this morning. I.

9-1-18 NE/MO/IA/IL Special Update: A complex of very heavy storms working through portions of the region this morning. I.

Illinois, Iowa, Missouri, Nebraska
Good morning everyone! This will be a quick update for the area regarding the very heavy rainfall potential through the remainder of the morning and the weekend. Here's a video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6noHsXh782w Simulated radar through 2pm CDT: This heavy batch of rain will continue to work through eastern IA into northern IL through the morning. A few storms may be severe through the morning with large hail and damaging winds the main threats. A few isolated patches of showers and storms may linger across IA into the afternoon hours.  The Weather Prediction Center has a mesoscale discussion out regarding the very…
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8-31-18 Central Plains Evening Update: Targeting multiple rounds of strong, heavy storms through the weekend. I.

8-31-18 Central Plains Evening Update: Targeting multiple rounds of strong, heavy storms through the weekend. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good evening everyone! A cluster of showers and storms still persist across northern MO into southwestern IA as of 4:40pm CDT. Over the course of the next few hours, we expect these storms to slowly weaken while leaving room for additional strong storm development across IA, northern MO, most of NE and northern/western KS. Some isolated strong storms have also developed in central NE.  Areas of convection persisting across portions of the area today is likely limiting some of the storm development that is expected to develop over the next few hours. Regardless, some destabilization of the atmosphere along with…
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