5-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Severe storms possible across Nebraska tonight…hit and miss storms into next week.  Details here. N.

5-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Severe storms possible across Nebraska tonight…hit and miss storms into next week. Details here. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/OswC-Nphiy4?hd=1 Potential for severe storms across Nebraska tonight.  Pockets of large hail and damaging wind the main risks. Total precipitation through tonight: The focus across far northern Iowa near the Minnesota border, with Nebraska seeing localized heavy rains under tonight's storms.   Total precipitation over the next 5 days shown below.  We think this model has the best solution regarding rainfall placement and totals.  Greatest focus in far northern areas, otherwise scattered coverage this weekend into next week.  Watch the video for much more details.   High temperatures over the next 4 days: Extended period of heat across Kansas and Missouri setting in as highs over the next week average 90º or better in a lot of those areas.  Much cooler in northern areas through the weekend north of…
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5-10-18 Long-range: Hot May correlations to June. Key atmospheric drivers lining up to support a hot June ahead. Details here. M.

5-10-18 Long-range: Hot May correlations to June. Key atmospheric drivers lining up to support a hot June ahead. Details here. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas
*You don't want to miss both the video and notes slides below...a ton of research with the May into June transition and summer recap! Have a blessed day! -Kirk* Today's video: http://youtu.be/1Z0TeJjcUoo?hd=1 PDF slides (click link below for hi-def slides) 5-10-18 Long-Range Analysis Notes sides: *Also to note...hi-res models are pushing the rainfall further north into more of northern Iowa and Minnesota than global models across the central/northern Plains*...make sure to check out the local forecast for more finer details.
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5-9-18 Central Plains Forecast:  Watching for rounds of storms & extended heat for southern areas as we head over the coming days!

5-9-18 Central Plains Forecast: Watching for rounds of storms & extended heat for southern areas as we head over the coming days!

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/5_XYjns7-GE?hd=1 Radar loop from 8:05-8:50AM CDT this morning showing an area of showers and storms working across east-central Missouri.  This activity will continue to progress east out of here later this morning. Total precipitation observed so far (left) vs. our rain forecast yesterday (right).  Overall things panned out very well with two distinct areas of heavier rain which was covered in our afternoon update.  Be sure you are watching those afternoon short-term updates! Forecast radar going from 8 this morning to 1am Thursday CDT: Hi-res data is likely overdone, but shows the additional rainfall across the area from now through Thursday morning.   Watch the video above for more details on what to expect for late week into the weekend.  The pattern becomes more active with severe storm risks,…
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5-8-18 Central Plains Forecast: Scat. Storm Chances into Wednesday….Watching Late Week Heat & Storms! N.

5-8-18 Central Plains Forecast: Scat. Storm Chances into Wednesday….Watching Late Week Heat & Storms! N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Be sure to watch the video for all of the forecast details: http://youtu.be/9eTtM-NnPQE?hd=1 Forecast radar: We likely see widely scattered showers/storms form this afternoon, but many locations can stay dry.  Main timing of storms comes in after 7pm CDT with the greatest focus tonight across Iowa and northern Missouri.  Gusty winds/hail possible with these storms, but not expecting widespread severe storms. Total precipitation through Wednesday...most of this accumulates overnight tonight from 7pm to 6am.   Warm front sets-up across northern areas late week acting as a focus for storm chances....watch the video for more details.   High temperatures over the next 4 days: Low temperatures over the next 4 days: Dewpoints over the next 4 days: Wind forecast over the next 4 days:
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5-7-18 Central Plains Forecast: Increasing storm chances Tuesday into Wednesday….becoming active heading into next weekend.  N.

5-7-18 Central Plains Forecast: Increasing storm chances Tuesday into Wednesday….becoming active heading into next weekend. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/nfjS0DkUcG0?hd=1 Good Monday morning!  Be sure to watch the forecast video above for all the forecast details!  If you have specific questions for your local area e-mail wxops@bamwx.com!  Here are the weather headlines for what to expect this week: Forecast radar over the next 60 hours.  We'll watch for a few gusty storms in northern Nebraska tonight, then a better chance for storms across the area late tomorrow afternoon and evening.  This disturbance will work east with lingering showers and storms in eastern Iowa/Missouri Wednesday, but areas further west will see dry conditions.  Total precipitation over the next 60 hours...the main take-away is that coverage is hit and miss, and much more focused in Iowa and northern Missouri.   A warm front will set up in northern areas late…
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5-6-18 Week Ahead Outlook. An active week w/above normal warmth. M.

5-6-18 Week Ahead Outlook. An active week w/above normal warmth. M.

Agriculture, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota
5-6-18 Week Ahead Outlook. An active week w/above normal warmth. M. Video today is 6 mins. For questions locally its wxops@bamwx.com! Have a blessed Sunday my friends. M.  http://youtu.be/UZA7zBpy22c?hd=1 7 day rainfall forecast form the European model.  7 day rainfall % of normal forecast from the European model.  7 day temps from normal forecast from the European model. 
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5-5-18 New ECMWF Seasonal Data Analysis On The Summer Outlook.

5-5-18 New ECMWF Seasonal Data Analysis On The Summer Outlook.

Agriculture, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Premium Discussions, South Dakota
5-5-18 New ECMWF Seasonal Data Analysis On Summer Outlook. I wanted to share the latest European seasonal model data for the upcoming Summer outlook. Overall from our thinking the general theme is still alive and well. I think the sudden Summer onset is already underway as May overall turns very warm nationwide and I think June and July can be rather hot this year too. There is SOME RISK that the growing season could end earlier from some early frost risks and colder/wetter Fall from the low solar period we are now in. Overall the data month by month is very warm in the central US and naturally that will lead to drier conditions too. Where it can be wet is in the desert SW and the eastern grain belt into the…
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5-4-18 Central Plains Forecast: Overall much quieter pattern into the weekend…..a few scattered showers this weekend, better chances mid next week. N.

5-4-18 Central Plains Forecast: Overall much quieter pattern into the weekend…..a few scattered showers this weekend, better chances mid next week. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video (5:27): http://youtu.be/10susRocV-0?hd=1 Here is a look back at total rainfall received across the region over the past 3 days: The video dives into the forecast details over the next week.....we'll see lingering clouds and showers across the Missouri bootheel through Saturday, other-wise much of the region enjoys a gorgeous Friday with sunshine and very warm temperatures.  The story for the rest of the area will be a disturbance dropping in later Saturday through Sunday....widely scattered showers and a t'storm possible in northern areas Saturday afternoon, then dropping southeast into Missouri for Sunday.  This is not going to be a big deal at all with scattered pockets of a few hundredths of an inch...perhaps a couple localized pockets that can get up to a quarter inch mainly in Iowa where…
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