7-18-19 IA/NE: Excessive heat through Saturday – weekend cold front brings a storm threat followed by a cool-down. N.

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Q-oHK8ABV8&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Storms over Iowa this morning will fade and move out through the day, with hot sunshine replacing it for the afternoon.  As mentioned in the video, we'll target a storm chance for far Northern Iowa tonight.....then dry and sunny Friday.  Friday night, mainly after midnight, a storm threat can sneak back into Northern Iowa and perhaps northern Nebraska.  However - MOST of us are storm free through Friday night.  Watch the video above for more details! Best threat of storms arrives Saturday pm-night, then on Sunday, chances shift south of I-80, with most of the area now looking…
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7-17-19 NE/KS: Intense heat and mainly dry next several days…targeting a late weekend front. N.

7-17-19 NE/KS: Intense heat and mainly dry next several days…targeting a late weekend front. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/W9FeiD77r2U?hd=1 Pattern over the next few days is quieter as the heat ridge continues to take over the area.  We will note a few isolated storms developing in the area, mainly after  4pm through 10pm, best threat in western Kansas into southern Nebraska.  However, brief nature of activity over any one spot means totals will be limited...overall many stay dry.  Forecast radar 5pm to 2am CDT shown here.   Expect mainly sunny, breezy, and very hot conditions Thursday, Friday, and most of Saturday.  We'll see a better threat for storms into Nebraska Saturday afternoon, then those chances shift south…
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7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
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7-16-19 IA/NE: Targeting additional storm risks through Wednesday night + excessive heat late week. N.

7-16-19 IA/NE: Targeting additional storm risks through Wednesday night + excessive heat late week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/AJd9d7ClDSY?hd=1 **Watch today's video above for our thoughts on timing and storm location over the next 60 hours.***  Current data indicates a threat for storms in north-central Iowa to develop this afternoon and early evening....atmospheric parameters suggest it would fall apart before entering southeast Iowa.  Later tonight, we think a cluster of storms dives south tonight into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa late tonight into Wednesday morning.  This has potential to bring damaging winds along with a heavy swath of rainfall.  Here is the rainfall idea through Wednesday morning We'll watch Wednesday night into Thursday morning for another sneaky…
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7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Short Term Update Through Tuesday Evening.V.

7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Short Term Update Through Tuesday Evening.V.

Good Monday afternoon! A check on radar as of 6 PM CT shows that all of IA is dry while we are watching a storm cluster in North/Central Nebraska work its way E: Below is a look at simulated upper level energy from 9 PM CT this evening until 7 PM CT tomorrow. The first thing to watch is an area of strong energy (darker reds) moving W to E across Nebraska and reaching the IA/NE border around sunrise tomorrow. We are also keeping an eye on the area of energy that is over the Northern half of Iowa for…
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7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Targeting hit/miss storms in short-term….major heat wave settles in starting mid-week. N.

7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Targeting hit/miss storms in short-term….major heat wave settles in starting mid-week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/7MGFJ1aAmug?hd=1 Rainfall over the past 72 hours: Total rainfall through tonight: Watch the video as I break down where best storm risks set-up in the short-term...they will be very hit and miss but locally heavy where they do occur.  Total rainfall off the hi-res NAM model through 7am Wednesday: The video discusses the "potential" of a heavy storm cluster in Northern Iowa Wednesday evening....but we note if the ridge expands a bit quicker, it would keep the storms north of the area.   Major heat wave builds in starting Wednesday and lasts into next week.   Percent of normal…
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7-14-19 Nebraska: Short Term Update through Monday evening.V.

7-14-19 Nebraska: Short Term Update through Monday evening.V.

Good Sunday afternoon!  A quick check on radar as of 5:15 PM CT shows that we are looking at some storms starting to creep into the extreme W parts of the state: Below is a look at upper level energy from 5 PM CT Sun until 3 AM CT Mon. We see a line of energy moving over parts of the Nebraska panhandle this evening and working into the central parts of the state in the pre-dawn hours tomorrow. This energy should produce some storms that will work their way E over the course of the evening and overnight hours. Any…
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7-12-19 Nebraska: Short Term Update through Saturday evening.V.

7-12-19 Nebraska: Short Term Update through Saturday evening.V.

Good Friday afternoon! Here is a look at radar as of 3:00 PM CT. As of right now we are pretty quiet across the state with only a few scattered areas of precipitation mainly focused in the N and W portions of the state: We are expecting these quiet radar returns to change as we head into the evening and overnight hours. Thunderstorms look to impact the W parts of the state this evening. Here is simulated radar at 8 PM CT Friday: These cells look to combine and form more of a storm cluster overnight and into the pre-dawn…
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7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

**We absolutely encourage everyone to check out and read all of the notes slides and watch all of the video, as we poured significant research into why the 2nd half of July has evolved more with warmer / less excessively wet risks, pattern favoring larger storm clusters ahead (derechos), updated weeks 3/4 forecast into early August and our latest updated August forecast. Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ6fLrfjlzo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-12-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry remains disorganized this morning but still looks to make landfall as a tropical storm or…
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7-12-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Storm risks north tonight….intense heat develops later next week as most areas stay drier. N.

7-12-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Storm risks north tonight….intense heat develops later next week as most areas stay drier. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/gZ9tweX4Rqk?hd=1 Forecast radar tonight shows a cluster of showers and storms developing in northern Nebraska, working into northwest and Northern Iowa late tonight into Saturday morning.   Forecast rainfall through Saturday morning: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Much of your weekend is hot and dry outside of an isolated storm threat.  Next week, we target extreme heat to work in by the latter portions of the week and next weekend.  Highs could approach 100º with heat indices 105-115º!   7-day rainfall numbers show the risk for northern areas to get clipped by a couple storm clusters in…
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