8-19-19 Northern Plains: Targeting a scattered storm risk tonight-Tuesday….quiet pattern for mid-week. N.

8-19-19 Northern Plains: Targeting a scattered storm risk tonight-Tuesday….quiet pattern for mid-week. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/rHwofNJ68yI?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 3 days is below...with eastern SD to Minnesota seeing widespread 0.50-1.50"+ Today as a whole is very lackluster widespread from the Dakotas to Minnesota in terms of rainfall chances...however, getting into after midnight tonight to predawn Tuesday morning we see storms develop around Sioux Falls to Worthington bringing potential for areas near Sioux Falls and SW Minnesota for locally heavy rainfall and damaging winds - this will become much stronger as it works across Iowa.  Also, from Devil's Lake, ND to Fargo and the northern half of Minnesota will see another round…
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8-17-19 Minnesota Short Term Update:  Strong storms continue tonight into tomorrow morning.  MG.

8-17-19 Minnesota Short Term Update: Strong storms continue tonight into tomorrow morning. MG.

Good Evening! Here is a look at current Radar as of 5:28 PM CDT. Storms are currently ongoing along an advancing cold front stretching from central South Dakota up into northwestern Minnesota.  Some of these storms in northwestern Minnesota just west of Bemidji are currently severe warned for strong winds as of 5:18 CDT.  This cold front is forecasted to continue pushing southeast throughout the evening and overnight hours.  A rather impressive instability gradient has set up from northeastern Nebraska into southwestern Minnesota currently.  Storm clusters tend to favor these instability gradients.  As the cold front continues to advance into…
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8-16-19 Northern Plains: Line of storms working across the area tomorrow, much drier Sunday.V.

8-16-19 Northern Plains: Line of storms working across the area tomorrow, much drier Sunday.V.

Good Friday Morning! Here is today's latest video forecast update: http://youtu.be/9GZQHcPFM_k?hd=1 A current check on radar shows that we are looking at almost completely dry conditions across the region, the only exception being some light showers in extreme E MN: Estimated rainfall over the past 24 hours. We saw a good area through SE ND,NE SD and Central MN that saw rainfall amounts generally between 0.5 to 1.0 inches: The rest of today we are expecting things to be mainly dry, there is the chance for some very spotty showers, however we are thinking this should not be anything robust…
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8-16-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast (cooler risks increasing?) + fresh September to October analogs. M.

8-16-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast (cooler risks increasing?) + fresh September to October analogs. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16F82V2R3vQ&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 8-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Increasing heat this weekend and into early next week for much of the Ag Belt related to a previous –AAM drop and westward moving typhoon. However, this heat will be short-lived as recurving typhoon Korsa will likely bring a strong cold front later next week. Data has trended substantially cooler the past few runs for the end of next week and into the weekend related to the typhoon recurve. Wouldn’t be surprised to see further cooler changes but confidence increasing on a…
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8-15-19 Northern Plains Short Term Update:  Discussing line of strong storms pushing east from SD to MN tonight.  MG.

8-15-19 Northern Plains Short Term Update: Discussing line of strong storms pushing east from SD to MN tonight. MG.

Good afternoon!  Here is your latest Short Term Forecast Update Video: http://youtu.be/V2fxNZzRQL4?hd=1 A line of storms currently just east of Aberdeen, SD is forecasted to continue to push east this afternoon/ evening into Minnesota.  Strong winds will be the primary threat with this line of storms with some possible hail as well.  This line of storms is expected to weaken later tonight into Minnesota as it runs into a more unfavorable environment.  Scattered storms will continue across ND this afternoon/ evening with minimal severe weather risk.   Here is a look at simulated radar from 6 PM CDT today through…
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8-15-19 Northern Plains: Severe storms to erupt this afternoon over portions of the area – quieter Friday expected. N.

8-15-19 Northern Plains: Severe storms to erupt this afternoon over portions of the area – quieter Friday expected. N.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/SVeb9sY4sqU?hd=1 Severe weather hits this afternoon - most reliable data suggests go severe between 2-3pm, then work east-southeast over east-central South Dakota, then weaken after 8pm as they work into Minnesota.   Total rainfall through tonight: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: A cold front swings east on Saturday - bringing back widely scattered storms to the area.  Here is a look at the rain totals from Saturday into Saturday night: North Dakota: Crosby: Jamestown: Fargo: South Dakota: Pierre: Aberdeen: Sioux Falls: Minnesota: Worthington: Grand Rapids: Minneapolis: Rochester:
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8-14-19 Northern Plains: Targeting Thursday storms and a weekend cold front. N.

8-14-19 Northern Plains: Targeting Thursday storms and a weekend cold front. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/12pAkkjG5PE?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours...focused mainly from Grand Forks to St. Cloud to Minneapolis and points southeast: We highlighted a few areas where some patchy dense fog is possible late tonight through daybreak Thursday morning: Other than a couple isolated pop-up showers across far eastern South Dakota and north-central Minnesota, pretty much a quiet stretch of weather today. We are watching for a broken line of showers and storms to work northwest to southeast across the area late tonight into Thursday, make sure to check out the video above for an hour-by-hour breakdown of those.…
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8-13-19 Northern Plains: overall drier weather for the next few days and cooler temps.V.

8-13-19 Northern Plains: overall drier weather for the next few days and cooler temps.V.

Good Tuesday Morning! Here is your latest video forecast update: http://youtu.be/kXdnC7DhQpE?hd=1 A look at estimated rainfall amounts for the past 24 hours. Much of SW ND and the Western 2/3 of SD stayed dry, however much of ND and most of MN saw measurable amounts of precip since 10 AM yesterday: A current look at radar shows that we are overall pretty dry across the Northern Plains, we are watching a disturbance in NE ND and NW MN, as well as extreme S Central SD getting touched by some light rains associated with a cluster in Nebraska: For the rest…
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8-13-19 Long Range: Analysis of the pattern influences from Typhoon Korsa. Looking at forecast ideas into September. B.

8-13-19 Long Range: Analysis of the pattern influences from Typhoon Korsa. Looking at forecast ideas into September. B.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/CkUGyQbE5To?hd=1 Today's Slides (Click for PDF Below):  8-13 Long Range Analysis Up/Down pattern continues. Warmer weather to start the week with cooler weather behind a cold front mid-late week.  Heat returns next week for about a ~5 day period leading to high cooling demand and warmer than normal temperatures for most of the Ag Belt.  Flash Flooding in parts of S. Illinois this morning with heavy rain also ongoing in parts Ohio. Increasing likelihood of a recurving typhoon ~Aug. 15/16 east of Korea. This is a strong cooler signal that would correlate 6-10 days later. Favoring Aug. 23…
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8-12-19 Northern Plains: Quieter and milder weather for the first half of the week.V.

8-12-19 Northern Plains: Quieter and milder weather for the first half of the week.V.

Good Monday Morning! Here is a look at your latest video update: http://youtu.be/BkkmfOKm3kM?hd=1 A current look at radar shows that we are looking at some rain in E parts of SD and Northwest MN right now. The heavier and more widespread rains are stretching from North Central to Southeast ND: Radar estimated rainfall over the past 72 hours. We have seen some pretty nice totals along S ND and much of SD, with a good chunk of the state picking up over an inch in the past 72 hours: Looking at today, we think that the northern half of ND…
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