7-18-19 KS/MO: Extreme heat next 4 days….Sunday cold front brings storms followed by a sharp cool-down. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/UHvPRdWvI5I?hd=1 Rainfall over the past 24 hours: Breezy, exceptionally hot and overall dry through Saturday is the main theme.   Cold front brings most areas a rainfall Sunday....chances will be mainly in the late Saturday night through Monday AM time-frame.  Here's a look at current guidance for rainfall totals: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Temperature data over the next 10 days: Kansas: Garden City: Salina: Topeka: Missouri cities: Nevada: Jefferson City: St. Louis:
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7-17-19 NE/KS: Intense heat and mainly dry next several days…targeting a late weekend front. N.

7-17-19 NE/KS: Intense heat and mainly dry next several days…targeting a late weekend front. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/W9FeiD77r2U?hd=1 Pattern over the next few days is quieter as the heat ridge continues to take over the area.  We will note a few isolated storms developing in the area, mainly after  4pm through 10pm, best threat in western Kansas into southern Nebraska.  However, brief nature of activity over any one spot means totals will be limited...overall many stay dry.  Forecast radar 5pm to 2am CDT shown here.   Expect mainly sunny, breezy, and very hot conditions Thursday, Friday, and most of Saturday.  We'll see a better threat for storms into Nebraska Saturday afternoon, then those chances shift south…
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7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
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7-15-19 Kansas: Sporadic rain chances in the short-term…big-time warm-up ahead us as the ridge of high pressure expands. K.

7-15-19 Kansas: Sporadic rain chances in the short-term…big-time warm-up ahead us as the ridge of high pressure expands. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/cTvST5yb_LA?hd=1 Rainfall guidance over the next 2 days is below...like we mentioned in the video above, even these totals noted in the 2 circled areas in the image will be more scattered in nature, these are by no means wash-out rains, very hit or miss as the energy in the atmosphere is splotchy at best ahead of us: We showed this in the video as well, but we feel that late tonight and late Tuesday night into early Wednesday AM as well, there's chances that the area circled in blue have an outside shot of the showers working…
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7-12-19 KS/MO: SE Missouri to see heavy rain from Barry’s remnants….otherwise a very hot/dry pattern taking hold. N.

7-12-19 KS/MO: SE Missouri to see heavy rain from Barry’s remnants….otherwise a very hot/dry pattern taking hold. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/d1PSyLQ3lvw?hd=1 Quiet weather expected across the area this weekend.  We'll watch the remains of Barry to spread rain into the Missouri boot heel Sunday night, with rains expanding across southeast Missouri mainly I-44 and southeast on Monday/Monday night.  There will be additional scattered showers in the boot heel Tuesday, then Tuesday night it's moving away.  Total rainfall forecast through Tuesday night remains similar from yesterday's thoughts.  Sharp north/west cut-off!! Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Major heat is going to build especially starting Wednesday and lasting through early the following week.  Highs each day 95-105º, lows 74-83º.  …
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7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

**We absolutely encourage everyone to check out and read all of the notes slides and watch all of the video, as we poured significant research into why the 2nd half of July has evolved more with warmer / less excessively wet risks, pattern favoring larger storm clusters ahead (derechos), updated weeks 3/4 forecast into early August and our latest updated August forecast. Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ6fLrfjlzo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-12-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry remains disorganized this morning but still looks to make landfall as a tropical storm or…
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7-11-19 KS/MO: Hot & dry pattern ahead barring “Barry” impacts for SE Missouri early next week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/Tw5hFNUEElo?hd=1 Overall a lot of dry and hot weather takes hold over the next 2 weeks here.  We will have to watch closely the track of tropical system "Barry" early next week.  The forecast track has shifted a bit further southeast.  We think the rain chances stays long and southeast of I-44 with this system early next week.  If you are northwest of this, things will remain very dry and hot with sinking air and hot conditions.  Timing puts main risk here Sunday night through Monday night.  What is important at this distance are the trends...and the trend has…
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7-10-19 KS/NE: Southeast Kansas storms move out….lower humidity arrives next 24-36 hours…weekend storm chance for Nebraska. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/jP8f8krg430?hd=1 Past 24 hour rainfall: Cluster of storms over Kansas continues to work east....seeing strong winds in the Leavenworth and Lansing areas as of 8:50AM Local time, this portion of the line is moving faster than the southern end...which is producing a gust of strong winds out ahead of it, possibly up to 60mph.  Storms moving east southeast around 35mph.   This batch of storms will work into southeast Kansas this morning, then mostly out of here by early afternoon.  Forecast radar 9am to 2pm local time:   We'll watch for additional storms to pop in far southeast Kansas…
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7-9-19 Kansas: Short Term Update Through Wednesday evening.V.

7-9-19 Kansas: Short Term Update Through Wednesday evening.V.

Good Tuesday afternoon! We have our eyes on two different possibilities for weather for your Wednesday. The first comes in the morning hours for the North Central parts of Kansas near the Nebraska border. Here is a simulated radar loop from midnight Central tonight until 7 AM Central. There is some model discrepancy regarding the location as some models keep this cluster a little more N and not crossing the NE/KS border much so this will be something to watch. This area should continue to fade as we progress into the day break hours and into late morning: There could…
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