7-18-19 IA/NE: Excessive heat through Saturday – weekend cold front brings a storm threat followed by a cool-down. N.

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Q-oHK8ABV8&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Storms over Iowa this morning will fade and move out through the day, with hot sunshine replacing it for the afternoon.  As mentioned in the video, we'll target a storm chance for far Northern Iowa tonight.....then dry and sunny Friday.  Friday night, mainly after midnight, a storm threat can sneak back into Northern Iowa and perhaps northern Nebraska.  However - MOST of us are storm free through Friday night.  Watch the video above for more details! Best threat of storms arrives Saturday pm-night, then on Sunday, chances shift south of I-80, with most of the area now looking…
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7-17-19 Iowa Short Term Update: Discussing storm potential across northern parts of the state tonight… major heat coming tomorrow. MG.

Good evening!  Here is your latest Iowa Short Term Update Video: http://youtu.be/J5s7n2Lp6V4?hd=1 Scattered storms will once again be possible in northern portions of the state tonight as some upper-level energy works its way around an upper level ridge.  There are still some model differences but it seems likely that northern parts of Iowa could see more thunderstorms activity with potential strong winds, hail, and heavy downpours.  Some serious heat sets in tomorrow with heat index values lingering around 105 F during the afternoon.   Here is a look at simulated radar from 7 PM tonight through 9 AM tomorrow: Here…
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7-17-19 IA/MO: Risk of severe storms for some today….very intense heat and drier pattern settles in tomorrow. N.

7-17-19 IA/MO: Risk of severe storms for some today….very intense heat and drier pattern settles in tomorrow. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/SrUxpJKX_4s?hd=1 Good morning...our Wednesday begins with a storm cluster delivering strong winds and heavy rain across southeast South Dakota....just about to enter northwest Iowa as I type at 7am CDT.  A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for northwest Iowa, and certainly wouldn't be shocked to see this expanded southeast through the day.   Forecast radar snapshot through the day: Tonight, storm risks in Missouri will fade away, but we'll watch northeast Iowa for the threat of training storms and heavy rainfall as a cluster of storms dives southeast from Minnesota.  Forecast radar from 10pm tonight to 6am Thursday…
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7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
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7-16-19 IA/NE: Targeting additional storm risks through Wednesday night + excessive heat late week. N.

7-16-19 IA/NE: Targeting additional storm risks through Wednesday night + excessive heat late week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/AJd9d7ClDSY?hd=1 **Watch today's video above for our thoughts on timing and storm location over the next 60 hours.***  Current data indicates a threat for storms in north-central Iowa to develop this afternoon and early evening....atmospheric parameters suggest it would fall apart before entering southeast Iowa.  Later tonight, we think a cluster of storms dives south tonight into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa late tonight into Wednesday morning.  This has potential to bring damaging winds along with a heavy swath of rainfall.  Here is the rainfall idea through Wednesday morning We'll watch Wednesday night into Thursday morning for another sneaky…
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7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Short Term Update Through Tuesday Evening.V.

7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Short Term Update Through Tuesday Evening.V.

Good Monday afternoon! A check on radar as of 6 PM CT shows that all of IA is dry while we are watching a storm cluster in North/Central Nebraska work its way E: Below is a look at simulated upper level energy from 9 PM CT this evening until 7 PM CT tomorrow. The first thing to watch is an area of strong energy (darker reds) moving W to E across Nebraska and reaching the IA/NE border around sunrise tomorrow. We are also keeping an eye on the area of energy that is over the Northern half of Iowa for…
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7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Targeting hit/miss storms in short-term….major heat wave settles in starting mid-week. N.

7-15-19 Iowa/Nebraska: Targeting hit/miss storms in short-term….major heat wave settles in starting mid-week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/7MGFJ1aAmug?hd=1 Rainfall over the past 72 hours: Total rainfall through tonight: Watch the video as I break down where best storm risks set-up in the short-term...they will be very hit and miss but locally heavy where they do occur.  Total rainfall off the hi-res NAM model through 7am Wednesday: The video discusses the "potential" of a heavy storm cluster in Northern Iowa Wednesday evening....but we note if the ridge expands a bit quicker, it would keep the storms north of the area.   Major heat wave builds in starting Wednesday and lasts into next week.   Percent of normal…
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7-15-19 Ohio: Rain chances ramp up in the short-term w/ remnants of Barry…intense heat to follow later this week. K.

7-15-19 Ohio: Rain chances ramp up in the short-term w/ remnants of Barry…intense heat to follow later this week. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/vPUeNcTEcPw?hd=1 Simulated radar guidance regarding shower/storm coverage today is below...we stay dry through noon, with increasing coverage (although still sporadic) focused from Defiance down to Cincy to Columbus through about sunset, coverage weakening thereafter...a few of these may be localized heavy, briefly, but shouldn't stick around one area for more than 30-60min: The low-level jet stream starts to really increase later Tuesday into Wednesday morning as the tropical remnants of Barry work their way into the Ohio Valley. Unfortunately, the way it looks right now totals will vary quite a bit across the state, with pockets of 0.5-1.5"…
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7-14-19 Iowa: Short Term Update Through Monday evening.V.

7-14-19 Iowa: Short Term Update Through Monday evening.V.

Good Sunday afternoon! A quick check on radar as of  5:45 PM CT shows that we are looking at some scattered showers and storms in the extreme NW parts of the state, and a small cluster of storms right at the IA/IL/WI borders: We think this pattern can continue over the next 36 hours. The northern edge of the state is looking at the highest chances of precip for the rest of tonight and through your Monday. Right now these chances are not very high, but this is the area where we would expect the majority of precip to fall:…
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7-12-19 Iowa: Short Term Update through Saturday evening.V.

7-12-19 Iowa: Short Term Update through Saturday evening.V.

Good Friday afternoon! Here is a look at current radar as of 5:00 PM CT. We are starting to see some storms work their way into the NW parts of the state with a general movement of NW to SE: None of the models are showing what is happening at the surface, however we do see this energy in the upper levels and it will continue to work its way to the S and E: As mentioned in the AM update, we are still keeping an eye on a storm cluster to work its way across the state overnight and…
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