8-14-18 Central Plains: Update on the rainfall/storm potential over the next couple of days. N.

8-14-18 Central Plains: Update on the rainfall/storm potential over the next couple of days. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good afternoon!  Wanted to send a quick update regarding the forecast over the next few days via new data coming in.  We continue to see scattered showers and isolated storms spin around an upper low centered over eastern Kansas.  Past 2-hour radar loop ending at 12:22PM CDT shown below: Forecast radar from 1pm this afternoon through 7am Wednesday shown below.   A strengthening southwest flow just above the surface will continue to pump in more moisture across southwest and southern Missouri overnight into Wednesday.  This will allow for a more widespread and heavier concentration of rain here. Going through the…
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8-14-18 Central Plains Forecast: Wet pattern continues into late week, additional rains looking ahead to next week.  Details here. N.

8-14-18 Central Plains Forecast: Wet pattern continues into late week, additional rains looking ahead to next week. Details here. N.

becks, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/gS98QP8JN_E?hd=1 Forecast radar from 10am CDT today to 1pm CDT Wednesday: Forecast rainfall through 1PM CDT Wednesday:   Forecast radar from 7am Wednesday to 1pm CDT Thursday shown below.  Kansas should dry out Wednesday as the system works east across Missouri.  As discussed in the video, another disturbance drops in from the northern Rockies and will bring storm chances to northern Nebraska tomorrow, mainly developing during the afternoon and risks continuing Wednesday night.   The day 2 NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe outlook shows the area well, but I think it can extend a bit farther east than they…
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8-13-18 Central Plains PM Update: Widespread shower and storm activity across KS will lift north/eastward through mid-week. I.

8-13-18 Central Plains PM Update: Widespread shower and storm activity across KS will lift north/eastward through mid-week. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good afternoon everyone! This update provides 18z high-resolution model runs in regards to precipitation over the next couple of days. Numerous shower/storm activity has filled in across portions of KS, southwestern MO, and southeast NE as of 4:25pm CDT. The culprit for this convection is an upper-level low lifting northward from the Southern Plains providing sufficient forcing for the development of widespread showers and storms. While coverage will fluctuate at times into mid-week, rain chances will remain across a large majority of the area through the period.  Here's a look at the NAM3km simulated radar through 7am CDT Tuesday morning:…
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8-13-18 Long-range: Pattern turning more active next couple of weeks…sharing latest seasonal research/analogs ahead. M.

8-13-18 Long-range: Pattern turning more active next couple of weeks…sharing latest seasonal research/analogs ahead. M.

Agriculture, becks, Energy, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Premium Discussions, South Dakota, Texas, Weekly Energy Report, Weekly Farm Report
Don't forget to signup for our Harvest '18 Fall free webinar for this coming Wednesday, August 15th at 11amEDT! For those that sign up and miss it live, a recording will be sent out additionally as well. Here's the link: BAMwx.com/webinar Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8Jlvw2bq7A PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 8-13-18 Long-Range Analysis Images:
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8-13-18 Central Plains Forecast: Widespread rains work in across KS/MO through mid-week…more active area-wide late month.  Details here. N.

8-13-18 Central Plains Forecast: Widespread rains work in across KS/MO through mid-week…more active area-wide late month. Details here. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/FB7JrX6_90g?hd=1 Today's regional forecast: Forecast radar over the next 24 hours (through 7am CDT Tuesday) showing the rains continuing to lift northward across Kansas today, becoming more numerous this afternoon and especially tonight, creeping north into southeast Nebraska and across western Missouri.   Rain through 7am CDT Tuesday: Widespread swath of 0.5" to 1.50". across much of Kansas into southeast Nebraska and southwest Missouri.   This slow-moving system continues to bring more rain Tuesday across Kansas, with the rains lifting northeast across Missouri throughout the day.  Rains will finally shift out of Kansas from west to east Tuesday night…
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8-12-18 Central Plains Sunday Update: Widely scattered storms anticipated in the far southern portions of the region today…watching for beneficial rains this upcoming week. I.

8-12-18 Central Plains Sunday Update: Widely scattered storms anticipated in the far southern portions of the region today…watching for beneficial rains this upcoming week. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good Sunday morning everyone! Most people are waking up to plentiful sunshine across the area as of 9:15am CDT. A few cloud decks have begun to work into our southern areas due to an upper-level low south of the region. Some smoke is also present in eastern NE/northwestern KS that originated from Canadian wildfires.  Here is the general idea of what to expect regarding today's weather: A large majority of the region will remain dry once again today with plentiful sunshine as surface high pressure located over IA dominates our pattern. An upper-level low positioned over the Southern Plains will…
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8-11-18 Central Plains Saturday Update: Pop-up storms along a frontal boundary expected in southern MO today…eyeing an increase in storm risks this upcoming week. I.

8-11-18 Central Plains Saturday Update: Pop-up storms along a frontal boundary expected in southern MO today…eyeing an increase in storm risks this upcoming week. I.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Good Saturday morning everyone! I wanted to start off discussing yesterday's observed precipitation. Over the last 24 hours, very localized pockets of 1-3" of rain fell over portions of southern KS into central/southern MO. A thin, broken line of showers developed over eastern IA that brought up to 0.5" of rain in a few spots.  Here is the general idea of what to expect regarding today's weather. As mentioned below surface pressure will dominate for most across the area, suppressing rain risks. A stationary boundary still exists in southern MO leading to storm chances this afternoon/evening before weakening late evening…
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8-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Few scattered storms south today….quiet weekend for many….rain risks increase next week. N.

8-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Few scattered storms south today….quiet weekend for many….rain risks increase next week. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/UyNKZt6K93A?hd=1 Good Friday morning!  Here is the forecast for the region today.  A frontal boundary will spark a few scattered storms mainly along a line across central Missouri through portions of southern Kansas.  Otherwise, plentiful sunshine and dry conditions. Forecast radar through the day: Isolated storms in northeast Missouri this morning, then as we head through the afternoon and early evening (3pm-8pm) a line of scattered storms should develop from southeast Kansas through central portions of Missouri.  Storms should diminish mid and late evening. Many areas stay dry....but a few locations pick up a quick 0.25" to 0.75", very…
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8-9-18 Central Plains Forecast: Few hit/miss storms today….dry set-up for many through the weekend….lower confidence next week.  N.

8-9-18 Central Plains Forecast: Few hit/miss storms today….dry set-up for many through the weekend….lower confidence next week. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/9Q_2YHJmwAE?hd=1 Today's forecast across the area: Upper-level low spinning across Arkansas will enhance scattered storm risks across southeast Missouri today, with very hit and miss storms bubbling up with the daytime heat elsewhere mainly across the eastern half of Kansas.   Forecast radar from 2-8pm CDT shows the pop-up storms during this time-frame.   With a weak flow aloft and plentiful moisture, cannot rule out a very localized heavy rain threat where these storms set-up today.  Your highest risk across southeast Missouri.  Here is the total rainfall forecast out through 7am CDT Friday.  This won't be exact, but picks…
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