8-19-19 PM IL/IN Update: Latest timing/thoughts on Tuesday’s severe storm threat. N.

8-19-19 PM IL/IN Update: Latest timing/thoughts on Tuesday’s severe storm threat. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/iALnQKOnMJE?hd=1 Latest track/timing of Tuesday storms is shown below.  The red area indicates where the "greatest" severe threat sets up for more widespread damaging wind and hail.  Further east, it's more scattered.  We feel the tornado threat is the lowest for Tuesday, but not out of the question.   Current thoughts on Tuesday rain potential:
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8-19-19 Indiana: Mainly dry today – increased scattered storm threat Tuesday – refreshing air mass arrives to end the week. N.

8-19-19 Indiana: Mainly dry today – increased scattered storm threat Tuesday – refreshing air mass arrives to end the week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/zphM4hXXxS0?hd=1 Rainfall totals over the past 48 hours: Mostly sunny today with isolated storms popping up after 1pm.  Highs upper 80s to near 90º.  However, most areas will be dry today.   Signs point to an isolated storm threat overnight tonight, with data honing in after midnight for an uptick in a few pop-up storms mainly over south-central Indiana.  What would cause storms to pop at night?  A strengthening jet stream at 5,000 feet up will help pump in enough lift and moisture, but don't expect this to be very widespread.   A better threat for scattered storms Tuesday.…
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8-18-19 Indiana Short Term Update:  Severe storms this afternoon/ evening across Indiana.  MG.

8-18-19 Indiana Short Term Update: Severe storms this afternoon/ evening across Indiana. MG.

Good afternoon.  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/rtV0mmxMyHM?hd=1 Strong to severe storms will be likely this afternoon / evening as a boundary pushes off to the east into Indiana.  The primary risk with these storms will be strong winds, hail, lightning, and heavy rain.  Will have to watch for storms to linger beyond 8 PM. Here is a snapshot of simulated radar at 10 PM tonight.  Storms may linger out through ~11 PM tonight.   The National Weather Service has issued a severe thunderstorm watch across much of Indiana for storms this afternoon/ evening. Here is a look…
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8-18-19 Indiana: Strong to severe storms possible today. Details here.V.

8-18-19 Indiana: Strong to severe storms possible today. Details here.V.

Good Sunday Morning! A current check on radar shows that we are dealing with some scattered showers and storms in the northern third portion of IN. We are watching storms in W IL to continue to work their way toward the state: A severe thunderstorm watch has just been issued for the counties shaded in yellow: 24 hour rainfall estimates are shown below. These are only estimates that are derived based on a storm's intensity on radar so they may not be exact down to your backyard. Almost everyone picked up some measurable rain yesterday, the heaviest amounts of 0.75+…
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8-17-19 Indiana Short Term Update:  Another round of storms tonight into tomorrow morning.  MG.

8-17-19 Indiana Short Term Update: Another round of storms tonight into tomorrow morning. MG.

Good afternoon! We are targeting another round of storms for later tonight into the morning hours of Sunday across mainly central and northern Indiana.  The primary risk with these storms will be strong winds, heavy rain, and lightning.  Current thinking is these storms will impact areas such as Terre Haute by 11 PM, Indianapolis by 1 AM, and Muncie by 3 AM.  These storms will be strongest along the IL/ IN border and should gradually weaken as it pushes east in central and eastern IN. Here is a look at simulated radar from 9 PM tonight through 6 AM tomorrow…
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8-17-19 Indiana: Storm Cluster Working Through the state today.V.

8-17-19 Indiana: Storm Cluster Working Through the state today.V.

Good Saturday Morning! A current look at radar shows that we are dealing with some showers and storms in the N and W parts of IN. A look further W into IL shows our area of precip that is going to work its way E into the state later this morning/early afternoon: Here is the current thinking on timing and intensity: Current thoughts of timing. We think this line will make its way to the IN/IL state line around 10 AM ET.  The Indy Metro area and points on that line look to have precip move into the area around…
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8-16-19 Indiana Short Term Update:  Models continue to slow down storm system tomorrow.  MG.

8-16-19 Indiana Short Term Update: Models continue to slow down storm system tomorrow. MG.

Good Evening! Below is the latest simulated radar data from 10 AM to 5 PM.  Models have continued to slow this system down where it now looks to impact areas such as Terre Haute by 11 AM ET, Indianapolis by 1 PM, and Richmond by 3 PM.  The greatest risk for heavy precipitation and strong winds is in western IN along the IL/ IN border.  This cluster looks to weaken as it tracks east across the state.  There is still a lot of uncertainty with this system so be sure to be on the look out for our morning update. Here…
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8-16-19 Indiana Short Term Update:  Timing out the rain chances for tomorrow morning.  MG.

8-16-19 Indiana Short Term Update: Timing out the rain chances for tomorrow morning. MG.

Good afternoon!  Here is your latest short term forecast update video: http://youtu.be/NUg6U4Xvm3k?hd=1 Here is a look at our current thoughts on the timing of tomorrow morning's storms. Models have slowed this system down quite a bit since this mornings forecast.  Below is our preferred model solution for tomorrow morning's system from  6 AM through 4 PM. Here is a look at our preferred rainfall totals through 8 PM tomorrow.  The further west you are, the more likely you are to receive heavier precipitation.  Areas closer to the Indiana/ Illinois border could get 1" - 2" with areas closer to central…
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8-16-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast (cooler risks increasing?) + fresh September to October analogs. M.

8-16-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast (cooler risks increasing?) + fresh September to October analogs. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16F82V2R3vQ&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 8-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Increasing heat this weekend and into early next week for much of the Ag Belt related to a previous –AAM drop and westward moving typhoon. However, this heat will be short-lived as recurving typhoon Korsa will likely bring a strong cold front later next week. Data has trended substantially cooler the past few runs for the end of next week and into the weekend related to the typhoon recurve. Wouldn’t be surprised to see further cooler changes but confidence increasing on a…
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8-16-19 Indiana: Discussing Saturday morning storm risks + increasing weekend heat…cool shot late next week. N.

8-16-19 Indiana: Discussing Saturday morning storm risks + increasing weekend heat…cool shot late next week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/nT46F81KA7A?hd=1 Isolated showers will work in from the west as we head towards lunch-time into early afternoon...best threat for a passing shower will be 12-2pm across most of the area.  As we progress through the afternoon and evening, best chances for a few scattered showers/storms will be over northern Indiana.  Expecting a mainly dry evening for Central Indiana.    Late tonight/Saturday morning is when things get a bit interesting.  A heavy cluster of storms will ignite over northern Missouri and track into central Illinois, eventually working east into Indiana during the pre-dawn and early morning hours of our Saturday.…
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