9-22-19 Illinois:  Flash flooding risk north… warm and breezy to the south… cooler and drier conditions for tomorrow.  MG.

9-22-19 Illinois: Flash flooding risk north… warm and breezy to the south… cooler and drier conditions for tomorrow. MG.

Good morning!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/Q3F-b-1py48?hd=1 Past 24 - hour rainfall accumulations. Simulated radar from 10 AM through 7 AM tomorrow morning. Modeled rainfall totals out through 9 AM tomorrow morning. The National Weather Service has issued a flash flood watch for much of northern Illinois until 1 AM Monday. High temperatures for today. Wind gust for today. High temperatures for tomorrow. Wind gust for tomorrow.
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9-21-19 Illinois:  Heavy rain/ flash flooding in northern Illinois.  MG.

9-21-19 Illinois: Heavy rain/ flash flooding in northern Illinois. MG.

Good morning!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/YNaCnbMPh_w?hd=1 Simulated radar from noon through 3 AM. Modeled rainfall totals out through 3 AM tomorrow morning. Simulated radar from 4 AM tomorrow morning through 7 AM Monday morning. Modeled totals from 3 AM tomorrow morning through 3 AM Monday morning. Ensemble of short range models rainfall forecast south through 7 AM Monday. The National Weather Service has issued a flash flood watch for much of northwestern Illinois. High temperatures today. Wind gust today. High temperatures tomorrow. Wind gust tomorrow.
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9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

Don't forget to sign-up for our official client winter webinar Wed, Oct 9th at 11amET here! BAMwx.com/client-webinar/ Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNILHwAEFEs&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Notable warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 5 – 8F above normal.  Keeping an eye on the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda that brought up to 32”+ of rain in Texas and will bring rain up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later this week. Any cold fronts in the next week or two look to have…
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*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?* This afternoon ive been looking over some of our analogs that involve a similar MJO pattern to 2019 aka tropical forcing. One thing im growing increasingly concerned with is the possibility that MJO can stall out in phase 1 which has a statistically high correlation to very wet weather here in the Midwest in October. This pattern is actually somewhat very similar to Oct 2018. What catches my attention is these particular phases of the MJO are also notorious for Atlantic tropical activity and all it takes is 1 storm…
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*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20*

*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20* Today we wanted to share with you what our current research is telling us for the upcoming Winter season. As always outlooks in September are largely up for grabs but the things we look at today are more from a historical analog stand point. Please be sure to register for the Winter outlook webinar exclusive to paying clients Wed Oct 9th 11am EDT. Register here: https://bamwx.com/client-webinar/ Click here for the PDF of our Prelim Winter 19-20.
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9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

***No updated video today...we've been working full-steam ahead on winter research this morning and will be sending out a separate update later today on our lates findings for review. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Major warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 8 – 12F above normal.  Keeping an eye on a tropical disturbance that will bring rain into Texas and up into the Eastern Plains later this week.  Any cold fronts in the next week or…
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