8-19-19 Minnesota: Discussing storm chances tonight and into tomorrow.V.

8-19-19 Minnesota: Discussing storm chances tonight and into tomorrow.V.

Good Monday evening! A current look at radar shows that we are dry minus a very stray shower in  W Central MN: As we work into the overnight/ Tue, we are watching two areas for the potential to see some showers and storms. The first (area in green) is N/ Central MN where we will see a cold front work its way across the state tonight and into tomorrow. The northern parts of the circle state look to see the strongest storms and this should come in the overnight hours tonight. Data is suggesting that as this front drags across MN…
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8-19-19 IA/MO: Watching for a storm cluster overnight and into Tuesday.V.

8-19-19 IA/MO: Watching for a storm cluster overnight and into Tuesday.V.

Good Monday afternoon! Here is a look at current radar- right now we are seeing only seeing in precip in MO right now with scattered showers and storms in SE MO: Our focus for the overnight hours and into tomorrow is a strong storm cluster that looks to form in NW IA and then dive southeast during tomorrow. In the image below, we are favoring the area in orange/red to have the best chances of seeing severe weather, with the area in yellow having lesser chances. This does not mean locations outside the orange circle cannot see severe weather, however…
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8-19-19 PM IL/IN Update: Latest timing/thoughts on Tuesday’s severe storm threat. N.

8-19-19 PM IL/IN Update: Latest timing/thoughts on Tuesday’s severe storm threat. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/iALnQKOnMJE?hd=1 Latest track/timing of Tuesday storms is shown below.  The red area indicates where the "greatest" severe threat sets up for more widespread damaging wind and hail.  Further east, it's more scattered.  We feel the tornado threat is the lowest for Tuesday, but not out of the question.   Current thoughts on Tuesday rain potential:
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8-19-19 Northern Plains: Targeting a scattered storm risk tonight-Tuesday….quiet pattern for mid-week. N.

8-19-19 Northern Plains: Targeting a scattered storm risk tonight-Tuesday….quiet pattern for mid-week. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/rHwofNJ68yI?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 3 days is below...with eastern SD to Minnesota seeing widespread 0.50-1.50"+ Today as a whole is very lackluster widespread from the Dakotas to Minnesota in terms of rainfall chances...however, getting into after midnight tonight to predawn Tuesday morning we see storms develop around Sioux Falls to Worthington bringing potential for areas near Sioux Falls and SW Minnesota for locally heavy rainfall and damaging winds - this will become much stronger as it works across Iowa.  Also, from Devil's Lake, ND to Fargo and the northern half of Minnesota will see another round…
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8-19-19 Kansas/Nebraska: Eyeing multiple storm cluster threats especially north and east in there short-term. K.

8-19-19 Kansas/Nebraska: Eyeing multiple storm cluster threats especially north and east in there short-term. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/6iEDgbSZeA8?hd=1 Dealing with a little dense fog across western Kansas that should burn off over the next couple of hours: Overall not favoring much weather as a whole across both KS and NE today with more stable air in place...a few scattered showers and t'storms possible across eastern CO to SW KS later this afternoon towards sunset ~3-9pm local time (~0.1-0.5"): The bigger threat comes late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning especially from North Platte to Valentine to Grand Island and Lincoln, Nebraska to northeastern KS for a strong storm threat bringing the risks for damaging winds, large…
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8-19-19 Iowa/Missouri: Targeting a potent cluster of storms to impact the area late tonight-Tuesday….details here. N.

8-19-19 Iowa/Missouri: Targeting a potent cluster of storms to impact the area late tonight-Tuesday….details here. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/dyfTbAxPVP4?hd=1 Mainly dry today, expect a cluster of storms to develop late tonight over Iowa, dropping east southeast into northeast and eastern Missouri through the day Tuesday.  The map below gives you a rough idea on timing and area: Rainfall potential: This will be a heavy hit for central Iowa Tuesday morning. Additional shots target Missouri and clip southwest Iowa Wednesday-Thursday: Total rain through Friday: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Temperature data: Iowa: Spencer: Des Moines: Mt. Pleasant: Missouri: Chillicothe: St. Joseph: Joplin: Jefferson City: St. Louis:
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8-19-19 Illinois: Targeting Tuesday storms – turning much cooler late week. N.

8-19-19 Illinois: Targeting Tuesday storms – turning much cooler late week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/fxaA65sa6zo?hd=1 The state is under a threat for severe weather Tuesday - biggest threat being damaging wind gusts.  A cluster of storms will develop over Iowa late tonight into Tuesday morning, then drop southeast across the state through the course of the day, largely southeast of here by 4-5pm. Total precipitation Tuesday: We'll see additional storm risks Wednesday into Thursday for the southern half of the state.  Here is the additional rains forecast Wednesday-Thursday.   Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Temperature data: Chicago: Peoria: Effingham: Carbondale: Quincy:
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8-19-19 Ohio: Recapping weekend rainfall + discussing increasing rain chances Tuesday & much cooler/drier weather to end the week. K.

8-19-19 Ohio: Recapping weekend rainfall + discussing increasing rain chances Tuesday & much cooler/drier weather to end the week. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/CGCUfyEpdoo?hd=1 Rainfall observed over the weekend was quite heavy especially across NW parts of the state: Other than a couple isolated showers and t'storms today from Columbus to Dayton / Cincy metro areas today...it's essentially a dry but muggy/hot day across the state. However, as we move into Tuesday especially afternoon into the evening we see widespread shower and storm risks increase in coverage across the state, some being locally heavy to strong in nature regarding wind gusts. This activity should start winding down from 8-10pm Tuesday night into the over night: Total rainfall guidance through Tuesday is…
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8-19-19 Indiana: Mainly dry today – increased scattered storm threat Tuesday – refreshing air mass arrives to end the week. N.

8-19-19 Indiana: Mainly dry today – increased scattered storm threat Tuesday – refreshing air mass arrives to end the week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/zphM4hXXxS0?hd=1 Rainfall totals over the past 48 hours: Mostly sunny today with isolated storms popping up after 1pm.  Highs upper 80s to near 90º.  However, most areas will be dry today.   Signs point to an isolated storm threat overnight tonight, with data honing in after midnight for an uptick in a few pop-up storms mainly over south-central Indiana.  What would cause storms to pop at night?  A strengthening jet stream at 5,000 feet up will help pump in enough lift and moisture, but don't expect this to be very widespread.   A better threat for scattered storms Tuesday.…
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8-18-19 Indiana Short Term Update:  Severe storms this afternoon/ evening across Indiana.  MG.

8-18-19 Indiana Short Term Update: Severe storms this afternoon/ evening across Indiana. MG.

Good afternoon.  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/rtV0mmxMyHM?hd=1 Strong to severe storms will be likely this afternoon / evening as a boundary pushes off to the east into Indiana.  The primary risk with these storms will be strong winds, hail, lightning, and heavy rain.  Will have to watch for storms to linger beyond 8 PM. Here is a snapshot of simulated radar at 10 PM tonight.  Storms may linger out through ~11 PM tonight.   The National Weather Service has issued a severe thunderstorm watch across much of Indiana for storms this afternoon/ evening. Here is a look…
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