12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/hJ-52jVT_K8 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-10-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: A few weak waves to track in the Midwest this week with some light snow chances. Data hints that the system next week could bring snow chances to someone in the Midwest/Ohio/TN Valley. This is possible given brief period of a –AO. The North Pacific continues to favor warmer risks for the week 2 period especially in the Eastern US. A poleward shift of the jet is favored in week 2 which favors more mild Pacific air into the Eastern US.…
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12-10-19 Tovar Stevens Point: Latest thoughts on snow potential Thursday.V.

Good Monday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/8vTAq-fvO5g?hd=1 A quick moving pulse of snow looks to move into the Quad Cities/Dubuque areas Wed AM. A few flurries from Stevens Point to Madison are possible but no accumulation is expected: We are watching for a quick pulse of snow to work across the area starting THU AM. Sim radar from Thursday morning through Thursday evening: Current *model* favored snow totals- please watch the video for the latest details as we would still like to see a few more model runs before giving official totals: Temperature charts over the next…
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12-9-19 Tovar Stevens Point (12:30pmCT): Latest of wintry potential today. V.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/43l1fqIiEEk Latest simulated radar guidance from 1pmCT today through midnight, as a very quick moving wave of snow showers work east...quickly reduced visibilities as the snow works east will be possible, also with snow rates being briefly heavy: Total snowfall accumulations are below, very close to what we mentioned in this morning's updates. Pavement impacts looking to overall be minimal given warm surface temps from Dubuque to Davenport to Madison, WI and points east (grassy/elevated light accumulations are possible in spots can't be ruled out given heavy snowfall rates): Overnight low temps tonight definitely get very chilly, but…
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12-8-19 Tovar Stevens Point: Discussing latest thoughts on Monday system.V.

Good Sunday Morning! Below is the latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/OrEbEUmMfEk?hd=1 Highs today: Sim radar from 4 AM CT Mon morning through 6 PM CT Mon evening: Updated snowfall totals: Watching refreeze potential Monday overnight into Tuesday AM for an untreated pavement that retains moisture as temps look to crash into the single digits/ teens: Sustained winds coming from the NW at 5-15 MPH Mon night should work in our favor of drying out wet pavement:
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12-7-19 Tovar Stevens Point: Latest thoughts on snow potential Monday.V.

Good Saturday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/SEGZNxO6HHE?hd=1 Current temps as of 7:00 AM CT: No wintry impacts expected through Sunday. Temperature loop 6 AM CT Monday through 6 AM CT Tuesday. Any wet pavement Mon night/Tue AM looks likely to turn into slick spots/refreeze come Tuesday morning: Precip loop through the same time: Latest snowfall thoughts. We will continue to fine tune as this event slowly gets within reach of hi res data:
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12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

Today's video: https://vimeo.com/377781840 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-6-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Storm system early next week brings the next best chance of snow for the Northern Plains and rain in the TN Valley. Tropospheric polar vortex influence after the cold front early next week. This will bring a big blast of cold air to the Midwest. Widespread below zero temperatures in the Northern Plains.  Combination of MJO Phase 2, -AAM and location of the stratospheric Polar Vortex will favor Pacific blocking and cold air intrusions in week 2. Differences in the GEFS/EPS…
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12-5-19 Tovar Stevens Point: Quiet weather continues with chance of snow possible on Monday. MG.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/bjlwW7jGi68?hd=1 Simulated radar guidance from the European model from midnight Sunday night through 6am Tuesday...right now the focus of light snow accumulations look to be especially from Eau Claire, La Crosse, Stevens Point to Green Bay. Otherwise, our weather the remainder of the work week into the weekend is very quiet: Wind guidance over the next 4 days: Temperature forecast:
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