12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/hJ-52jVT_K8 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-10-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: A few weak waves to track in the Midwest this week with some light snow chances. Data hints that the system next week could bring snow chances to someone in the Midwest/Ohio/TN Valley. This is possible given brief period of a –AO. The North Pacific continues to favor warmer risks for the week 2 period especially in the Eastern US. A poleward shift of the jet is favored in week 2 which favors more mild Pacific air into the Eastern US.…
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12-10-19 Tovar St. Louis: Cold today – turning mild mid to late week – next chance of precipitation late Friday. N.

12-10-19 Tovar St. Louis: Cold today – turning mild mid to late week – next chance of precipitation late Friday. N.

Good Tuesday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/qPnfw4Hy8Cw?hd=1 It's about 30º colder this morning than yesterday at this time! Wind forecast over the next 4 days: After milder air Wednesday through Friday, we watch the weekend for colder temperatures to return briefly for a few days.  We could see a wintry mix in northern Missouri Friday night-Saturday morning, then we'll keep an eye on winter weather possibilities late Sunday into Monday with a southern stream system zipping by.  Forecast radar from 6am Saturday to 12pm Monday: Precipitation next 7 days: Temperature charts over the next 10 days:
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12-7-19 Tovar St Louis: Quiet weather today, discussing precip chances Monday.V.

Good Saturday Morning! Here is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/VmlA4gVwrmQ?hd=1 A look at current temps as of 5:00 AM CT: Highs today: Winds will be coming out of the SE at 5-10 MPH: Next chance for precip works into the state late Sunday. Sim radar from Sun night through Tuesday night: Precip totals for this event Monday: Snow totals- please watch video for latest thoughts: Watching for a shot of arctic air mid next week- low temps Wed AM:
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12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

Today's video: https://vimeo.com/377781840 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-6-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Storm system early next week brings the next best chance of snow for the Northern Plains and rain in the TN Valley. Tropospheric polar vortex influence after the cold front early next week. This will bring a big blast of cold air to the Midwest. Widespread below zero temperatures in the Northern Plains.  Combination of MJO Phase 2, -AAM and location of the stratospheric Polar Vortex will favor Pacific blocking and cold air intrusions in week 2. Differences in the GEFS/EPS…
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12-6-19 Tovar St. Louis: Quiet weekend ahead….cold front Monday to usher in colder air next week. N.

12-6-19 Tovar St. Louis: Quiet weekend ahead….cold front Monday to usher in colder air next week. N.

Missouri Video: http://youtu.be/c9R2OXHQK_I?hd=1 Good morning!  Showers exit SE Missouri by 8am and we'll turn mainly sunny this afternoon and evening.  The bootheel locations will hang on to more clouds into tomorrow but even there the clouds should erode through the day Saturday.   Here is our wind forecast over the next 4 days: Notice the big uptick in wind Monday, thanks to a strong cold front passing.  We'll have light scattered showers roll through, transitioning to a few snow showers Monday night, but no accumulation is expected.   Forecast precipitation Sunday night - Monday night: Temperature Charts: St. Louis:
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12-5-19 Tovar St. Louis: Mild today with showers possible mainly south… discussing big changes early next week. MG.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/Rmraacg0F_8?hd=1 Simulated radar from 2 PM today through 12 PM Friday. Here is a look at modeled rainfall totals through 12 PM Friday. Here is a look at simulated radar from 3 PM Sunday through 3 PM Tuesday. Here is a look at modeled rainfall totals from 3 PM Sunday through 3 PM Tuesday. Wind guidance over the next 4 days: Temperature Chart:
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12-4-19 Tovar St. Louis: Mild & sunny today, fog patches & frost tonight….big changes next week. N.

12-4-19 Tovar St. Louis: Mild & sunny today, fog patches & frost tonight….big changes next week. N.

Missouri Video: http://youtu.be/jmZyy_XEOKU?hd=1 Sunny and mild today.  Areas mainly east of St. Louis could see patchy freezing fog develop late tonight into Thursday morning, which could create isolated black ice on bridges/overpasses around sunrise Thursday with temperatures right around freezing.  Main risk is in our Illinois counties.  Fog will be patchy, with a heavy frost likely.  Sometimes on these heavy frost mornings we can get slick spots on bridges/overpasses. Dry day on Thursday with increasing clouds, then we see scattered rain move in Thursday night.  Forecast rain amounts up to 0.10" just south of the city.  We'll clear back out Friday. We'll trend…
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12-3-19 Long-range: Discussing big modeled colder changes ahead & updated weeks 3/4 forecast. M.

12-3-19 Long-range: Discussing big modeled colder changes ahead & updated weeks 3/4 forecast. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/LyaoC2VGUyg PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-3-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Week 1 will be very quiet for most of the country. Weak cold fronts will favor cooler risks on the East Coast though warmth will build from west to east throughout the week. Overnight data has trended substantially colder in the week 2 period with a seemingly big win for the GEFS. Data suggests a potential tropospheric polar vortex influence after the cold front early next week. This will bring a big blast of cold air to the Midwest. The MJO…
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