12-11-19 Tovar SE Wisconsin: Latest on tomorrow’s system. MG.

Forecast update: http://youtu.be/QxD9yHTYe1k?hd=1 The National Weather Service has placed much of northern Wisconsin under a winter weather advisory.  This includes areas such as Stevens Point and Green Bay. Here is a look at simulated radar from 2 AM tomorrow morning through 2 AM Friday morning. Here is a look at simulated radar for the same time as above (2 AM THU - 2 AM FRI).  Cooler temperatures around the Stevens Point area will allow for some higher ratio snow.  Note that areas across southern Wisconsin warm up where pavement issues will be largely avoided.  Temperatures do look to fall around…
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12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/hJ-52jVT_K8 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-10-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: A few weak waves to track in the Midwest this week with some light snow chances. Data hints that the system next week could bring snow chances to someone in the Midwest/Ohio/TN Valley. This is possible given brief period of a –AO. The North Pacific continues to favor warmer risks for the week 2 period especially in the Eastern US. A poleward shift of the jet is favored in week 2 which favors more mild Pacific air into the Eastern US.…
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12-10-19 Tovar SE WI: Latest thoughts on snow potential for Thursday.V.

Good Monday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/8vTAq-fvO5g?hd=1 A quick moving pulse of snow looks to move into the Quad Cities/Dubuque areas Wed AM. A few flurries from Stevens Point to Madison are possible but no accumulation is expected: We are watching for a quick pulse of snow to work across the area starting THU AM. Sim radar from Thursday morning through Thursday evening: Current *model* favored snow totals- please watch the video for the latest details as we would still like to see a few more model runs before giving official totals: Temperature charts over the next…
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12-9-19 Tovar SE Wisconsin (12:45pmCT): Latest on wintry potential today. V.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/H8cVwUQwzB4 Latest simulated radar guidance from 1pmCT today through midnight, as a very quick moving wave of snow showers work east...quickly reduced visibilities as the snow works east will be possible, also with snow rates being briefly heavy. Locations around the Chicago metro area look to be a bit too Far East for much/any impacts of wintry weather here today: Total snowfall accumulations are below, very close to what we mentioned in this morning's updates. Pavement impacts looking to overall be minimal given the surface temps we are currently at and forecast to be as this wave works east well above…
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12-8-19 Tovar SE WI: Discussing latest thoughts on Monday system.V.

Good Sunday Morning! Below is the latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/OrEbEUmMfEk?hd=1 Highs today: Sim radar from 4 AM CT Mon morning through 6 PM CT Mon evening: Updated snowfall totals: Watching refreeze potential Monday overnight into Tuesday AM for an untreated pavement that retains moisture as temps look to crash into the single digits/ teens: Sustained winds coming from the NW at 5-15 MPH Mon night should work in our favor of drying out wet pavement:
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12-7-19 Tovar SE WI: Latest thoughts on snow potential Monday.V.

Good Saturday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update: http://youtu.be/SEGZNxO6HHE?hd=1 Current temps as of 7:00 AM CT: No wintry impacts expected through Sunday. Temperature loop 6 AM CT Monday through 6 AM CT Tuesday. Any wet pavement Mon night/Tue AM looks likely to turn into slick spots/refreeze come Tuesday morning: Precip loop through the same time: Latest snowfall thoughts. We will continue to fine tune as this event slowly gets within reach of hi res data:
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