12-10-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Latest thoughts on snow potential tomorrow morning.V.

Good Tuesday evening! A look at the latest favored forecast guidance from 4 AM CT through 9 AM CT tomorrow morning. We are still favoring downtown Chicago and points north not to see accumulation from this. A few flurries cannot be ruled out, but accumulation is not expected at this time. The best chances at seeing a light coating from this are from Davenport to Peoria: Temps from 6 to 11 AM. We will certainly be below freezing during this time so our snow will be more on the light/fluffy side of things: Current favored totals- as discussed in previous…
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12-10-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Discussing a streak of light snow for Wednesday AM. N.

12-10-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Discussing a streak of light snow for Wednesday AM. N.

Good afternoon!  Here is a quick update on a wave of light snow showers that will pass through portions of north-central Illinois Wednesday morning.  Minor amounts under an inch are expected from the Quad cities to Pontiac to Watseka.  Portions of the Quad Cities could get 1" out of this.  Some areas further east near Kankakee will be luck to see a quarter inch of snow.  Forecast radar from 6am to 11am CT:
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12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

12-10-19 Long-range: Updated week’s 3/4 forecast & expected model chaos ahead. M.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/hJ-52jVT_K8 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-10-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: A few weak waves to track in the Midwest this week with some light snow chances. Data hints that the system next week could bring snow chances to someone in the Midwest/Ohio/TN Valley. This is possible given brief period of a –AO. The North Pacific continues to favor warmer risks for the week 2 period especially in the Eastern US. A poleward shift of the jet is favored in week 2 which favors more mild Pacific air into the Eastern US.…
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12-10-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Latest thoughts on light snow potential Wednesday, watching possible system late week/weekend.V.

Video: http://youtu.be/f2vvBZwrtAs?hd=1 Current wind chills: Forecast radar from 4am to noon Wednesday shows a "streak" of snow showers working from the Quad cities east, southeast along I-80, exiting by noon.  Minor coatings of snow on paved areas will be the concern as this passes.   Wind forecast over the next 4 days: We'll watch a system from Friday night-Saturday night which could bring some wintry weather, mainly over the northern part of the state as we see a punch of colder air return Saturday-Saturday night.  Still too early to talk amounts.  A southern stream system may brush portions of the…
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12-9-19 Tovar Quad Cities (12:30pmCT): Latest of wintry potential today. V.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/43l1fqIiEEk Latest simulated radar guidance from 1pmCT today through midnight, as a very quick moving wave of snow showers work east...quickly reduced visibilities as the snow works east will be possible, also with snow rates being briefly heavy: Total snowfall accumulations are below, very close to what we mentioned in this morning's updates. Pavement impacts looking to overall be minimal given warm surface temps from Dubuque to Davenport to Madison, WI and points east (grassy/elevated light accumulations are possible in spots can't be ruled out given heavy snowfall rates): Overnight low temps tonight definitely get very chilly, but…
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12-9-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Dramatic temperature drop this evening….snow shower chances north mid-week. N.

12-9-19 Tovar Quad Cities: Dramatic temperature drop this evening….snow shower chances north mid-week. N.

Today's Video: Additional rainfall totals today: Temperature forecast 3pm - midnight: Watching a wave of snow showers potentially for areas along/north of I-80 Wednesday morning 4am to 11am CT.  A coating to 1" would be possible, & given very cold air in place it won't take much to cause a thin coating of snow on pavement.   Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Temperatures over the next 10 days:
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12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

12-6-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast and growing confidence for a cold and stormy pattern. M.

Today's video: https://vimeo.com/377781840 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-6-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Storm system early next week brings the next best chance of snow for the Northern Plains and rain in the TN Valley. Tropospheric polar vortex influence after the cold front early next week. This will bring a big blast of cold air to the Midwest. Widespread below zero temperatures in the Northern Plains.  Combination of MJO Phase 2, -AAM and location of the stratospheric Polar Vortex will favor Pacific blocking and cold air intrusions in week 2. Differences in the GEFS/EPS…
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