7-19-19 IA/NE: Intense heat through Saturday….heavy storms for some Saturday night, then much cooler. N.

7-19-19 IA/NE: Intense heat through Saturday….heavy storms for some Saturday night, then much cooler. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/0O71AYYDw1Q?hd=1 A cold front brings our best chance for storms Saturday night-Sunday....we do think many locations in Iowa are 0.50" to 1.50" range given high moisture content and better forcing in Iowa vs. further west in Nebraska.  Models will struggle with exact placement of heavier totals due to the nature of how these storms evolve.  These are totals through 7am Sunday.  Check back for further updates as we fine-tune exact placement and totals.   Wind forecast over the next 4 days: We''ll turn MUCH cooler Sunday and dry out for much of next week.  Expect multiple days of mainly…
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7-19-19 Illinois: Excessive heat in short-term – big cold front brings late-weekend rain  – dramatic cool-down by Monday. N.

7-19-19 Illinois: Excessive heat in short-term – big cold front brings late-weekend rain – dramatic cool-down by Monday. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/EyMxmYj-T6Y?hd=1 Rain over the past 24 hours: Ridge of high pressure is in full effect today keeping conditions dry.  We'll have an outside chance of a dying shower making it to northern Illinois Saturday morning, but the main chances there aren't until late Saturday afternoon and evening.  As a whole, tomorrow is still a dry day.  Tomorrow evening, I do think we start to sneak in some storms over far northern Illinois, with northwest Illinois and locations north of I-80 at risk Saturday night.  Sunday, chances gradually seep southward, with central Illinois seeing scattered storms developing later Sunday afternoon…
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7-19-19 Ohio: Excessively warm risks over the next 3 days with spotty storm chances at best for most…big cooler/drier risks into next week. K.

7-19-19 Ohio: Excessively warm risks over the next 3 days with spotty storm chances at best for most…big cooler/drier risks into next week. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/JCJufDc9e-A?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours is below, where areas across the eastern half of the state stayed virtually dry and areas northwest did indeed see scattered showers and storms like we mentioned there would be...the coverage, however, around the Cincy metro area definitely popped a little bit more than anticipated, in which we adjusted on the afternoon update: Excessive heat warnings continue through Sunday with high temps expected to climb into the low to mid 90s and heat indices between 100-110F: We think some very isolated storms are possible across the northern third of the…
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7-19-19 Indiana: Excessive heat continues until late Sunday’s cold front passage…”feeling” 30º cooler early next week. N.

Video: http://youtu.be/QkT-hlyxkQA?hd=1 Total rain over the past 24 hours: Most areas won't see storms until later Sunday afternoon into Monday, with this front bringing 0.25" to 0.75" in general.  There are signs that the front may slow down as it passes into Monday, which could linger showers a little longer into Monday and allow for isolated higher totals.  Most of us should get rain as it passes.  Isolated severe - spotty wind damage is possible and perhaps hail, but widespread severe is NOT expected as the better wind energy will be displaced north of this front.  Wind forecast over the…
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7-19-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Overall very warm & dry into the weekend…big-time cool down next week…increasing early Aug warm signals? K.

7-19-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Overall very warm & dry into the weekend…big-time cool down next week…increasing early Aug warm signals? K.

Have a blessed weekend, stay cool out there! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-19-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: The story yesterday was the storm cluster that ran from SE MN to NE IA, southern WI through Chicago, northern IN and all the way in a weakened state to western OH…heaviest totals clustered in the Midwest areas of widespread 1.5-3.0”+…0.5-1.5” in the Ohio Valley.  Today is largely a very dry / excessively hot day across the Grain Belt, with the only rainfall feature being a possible storm cluster across the eastern Dakotas into…
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7-18-19 Iowa Short Term Update: Storms possible in northern Iowa tonight. MG.

Good Evening! A warm front currently situated across southern Minnesota with storms already firing along it.  Here is a look at the current radar as of 7:11 PM CDT.  Multiple tornado warnings have already been issued across southern parts of Minnesota. Storms are expected to continue to expand and intensify, mainly across portions of southern Minnesota.  However, some more storm activity could drift into far northern portions of Iowa tonight.  Any storms that do form pose the risk for strong winds, hail, an isolated tornado, and heavy downpours.   Here is a look at simulated radar from 8 PM CDT…
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7-18-19 Minnesota Short Term Update: Discussing storm chances in southern parts of the state tonight and tomorrow. MG.

Good afternoon!  Here is your latest forecast update video: http://youtu.be/7p7lC7v0BXY?hd=1 Storms look to develop in southern portions of the state this evening into tonight along a stalled out warm front.  Some of these storms could be severe with strong winds, hail, and possibly an isolated tornado.  Due to the amount of moisture in the atmosphere, some of these storms could be soakers capable of producing amounts of 1" - 3" of rainfall.  More severe weather is expected to form in eastern and southern portions of the state tomorrow as a line of storms looks to develop and sweep southeastward across…
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7-18-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Discussing pattern risks ahead, GEFS warmer trends. B.

7-18-19 PM Ag Weather Report: Discussing pattern risks ahead, GEFS warmer trends. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest PM Ag Weather Report with a new structure. We are going to focus our reports on our thoughts rather than centering it around model data. Model data changes/forecasts will be noted as necessary.  ~ Bret 7-18 AGWX Afternoon Another storm cluster risk overnight tonight as the ridge continues to push northward.  Excessive Heat Warnings continue throughout much of the Central Plains, Midwest and the Ohio Valley. Some areas will exceed 110F for heat indices. Days 4 – 9 are looking quite dry for much of the Ag Belt as we push in high pressure…
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7-18-19 IL/IN/OH PM Update: Discussing storm chances through late afternoon + excessive heat into the weekend. N.

7-18-19 IL/IN/OH PM Update: Discussing storm chances through late afternoon + excessive heat into the weekend. N.

Updated Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PfmEPT-ONdI&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Forecast radar from 1pm (now) to 8pm this evening shows the area of storms in northern Indiana, along with widely scattered development expected from east-central Indiana to western Ohio where we have a higher amount of instability present, on the edge of our building heat ridge coming from the west.   Total rain through the evening: *Keep in mind the totals shown for Illinois have already fallen* Still anticipating heat indices widespread 105-110º Friday and Saturday, then on Sunday the southern half of the area.  
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7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

7-18-19 Long-range: Pattern evolution thoughts ahead remain consistent – Short-term heat, big cool shot next week…up-and-down first half of August? K.

***No updated video analysis today, we've evaluated the latest research and have verified our thoughts of the pattern ahead are consistent to what we've mentioned all week. We will have an updated video Friday for our updated week's 3/4 forecast and August pattern evolution as a whole. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-18-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Excessive Heat Warnings from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and even in the Northeast through the weekend. Cold front Sunday has sped up and will allow for cooler and drier risks for…
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