2-16-19 IN/IL/OH: Dry weather with clearer skies expected today…additional disturbance to bring snows, especially north, tonight through Monday morning. I.

2-16-19 IN/IL/OH: Dry weather with clearer skies expected today…additional disturbance to bring snows, especially north, tonight through Monday morning. I.

becks, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio
Good morning everyone! We're looking at a great day weather-wise across the vast majority of the area due to high pressure bearing down from the north. This will lead to mostly sunny skies for most through the daytime hours before increased cloud cover starts to work in from the west this evening ahead of our next storm system. Regarding temperatures, watch for highs today to warm into the 30s given the plentiful sunshine expected. Here's a look at the latest weather bulletins across the region: The National Weather Service is highlighting the central and western portions of IL currently for…
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2-15-19 IN/IL/OH Update: Light snows clip S. IL and far S. IN through tonight…additional light accumulating snows, especially north, Saturday night – Sunday night. I.

2-15-19 IN/IL/OH Update: Light snows clip S. IL and far S. IN through tonight…additional light accumulating snows, especially north, Saturday night – Sunday night. I.

becks, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio
Afternoon Video: http://youtu.be/CqFL0bzVH6Q?hd=1 Good afternoon everyone! The quick-moving system across the Central Plains is starting to make its way into the far southwestern portions of the area, mainly in the southern third of IL as of 2:10pm EST. However, the precipitation is definitely combating some dry air along its northern and eastern extent, so while radar may show snow falling currently it is likely evaporating before reaching the surface (known as a virga). Through the remainder of the afternoon, the lower-levels of the atmosphere will gradually become saturated and allow for these snows in the southern third of IL to…
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2-15-19 Central Plains: Accumulating snows into tonight – more snow for the weekend (esp. north). N.

2-15-19 Central Plains: Accumulating snows into tonight – more snow for the weekend (esp. north). N.

becks, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/1-b6knArYT8?hd=1 Widespread snows across central Nebraska through eastern Kansas and increasing across central Missouri.  2-hour radar loop ending at 9:30 CT shown below: Winter weather advisories across the area in effect into this evening: Additional snowfall through the day: Our next system quickly follows Saturday afternoon and night with scattered snow showers increasing from west to east Saturday evening, with a light wintry mix mainly across southeast Kansas and southern Missouri.  On Sunday, much of Kansas and Missouri will be dry, with snow showers lingering across northeast Nebraska and much of Iowa through the day.   Some minor freezing…
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2-15-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 + March forecasts…breaking down the drivers into early spring. K.

2-15-19 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 + March forecasts…breaking down the drivers into early spring. K.

Agriculture, becks, Energy
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUOC6yqD4UI&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 2-15 Long-Range Analysis A bit of a drier pattern as we work through the next week as the storm track shifts to the south thanks to in part to cold air briefly further east and a weakly –NAO.  Major cold continues west of the Mississippi River with notable cold continuing in the West US allowing heating demand to remain above normal.  Overall, we don’t anticipate this pattern breaking down through the end of the month, though we need to watch for a briefly neutral/+PNA to end the month,…
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Friday Weather Package

Friday Weather Package

becks
Good morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: A disturbance will mainly impact southern Illinois tonight with a narrow band of accumulating snows.  This system has shifted farther south.  Looks to move into southern Illinois this afternoon mainly along I-64 and south, then southwest Indiana after 4pm.  This system exits those areas quickly during the pre-dawn hours.   Saturday looks great!  A wintry system arrives Saturday night through Sunday night, bringing a period of light snow showers across the region into Sunday morning, then the best snow risks shift to the northern portions of the area Sunday afternoon and night.  More info in the…
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2-15-19 Illinois: Light accum. snow in southern Illinois this PM into tonight…..accum. snows target areas north for Sunday. N.

2-15-19 Illinois: Light accum. snow in southern Illinois this PM into tonight…..accum. snows target areas north for Sunday. N.

becks, Illinois
Video: http://youtu.be/FRW_i1VWtjg?hd=1 The snow chances for today have shifted further south compared to the forecast yesterday.  Best snow chances along I-64 and points to the south, where 1-3" of snow is expected.  A narrow band of isolated higher totals wouldn't be impossible.  Main timing from noon today through midnight tonight.   A narrow band of strong mid-level frontogenesis this evening may allow for a narrow heavier band in southern Illinois (iso. 3"+ totals wouldn't be ruled out because of this): The day-time Saturday looks good with some sun and a bit of a warm-up.  Our next system arrives mid/late evening…
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2-15-19 Indiana: Light snow clips far southern Indiana this evening – system late Saturday night-Sunday night brings light snow chances. N.

2-15-19 Indiana: Light snow clips far southern Indiana this evening – system late Saturday night-Sunday night brings light snow chances. N.

becks, Indiana
Video: http://youtu.be/jr2m-QQaFog?hd=1 Dry and much colder day, as many stay below freezing this afternoon!  Our snow chance for this evening is now only confined to extreme southern Indiana, with much of the state staying dry.  Areas from Vincennes to Paoli to Scottsburg and points south the best risks to see some light snow, best chances out towards Evansville where around 1" still seems possible.  Timing looks to be after 4pm through about 3am.  Far northern and northwest Indiana will see scattered light flurries tonight enhanced off Lake Michigan, but that looks very minor with 0.1" of less generally expected up…
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2-15-19 Ohio: Quiet weather settles in over the next 2 days…eyeing light wintry potential on Sunday +  additional risks into mid-next week. K.

2-15-19 Ohio: Quiet weather settles in over the next 2 days…eyeing light wintry potential on Sunday + additional risks into mid-next week. K.

becks, Ohio
Today's video: http://youtu.be/J_jDgWCqD3Y?hd=1 The lingering showers will continue to push east of the state into the morning hours, with some peaks of sunshine filtering in from west to east...temps continue to fall throughout the day too. The wave we've been discussing possibly impacting areas across southern Ohio continues to work south basically completely out of the area later tonight...so the forecast into Saturday is one that's dry with widespread sunshine working in as well: We continue to eye Sunday for possible light wintry weather risks especially north of I-70...latest data is very weak with precipitation so confidence is still lower…
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2-15-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing updated thoughts on the pattern next 2-4 weeks. K.

2-15-19 Early AM SA Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing updated thoughts on the pattern next 2-4 weeks. K.

becks, South America
Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Key Points: Over the past 24 hours a most of the major Argentinian croplands stayed dry again, with nearly every Brazil region seeing rains of 0.25-1.00” yesterday with localized higher in each area as well. Week 1 Brazil : Rains stay super persistent here for the week 1 still across Brazil nearly everywhere experiencing widespread 1.0-3.0”, with local pockets of 3”+ to be had across Mato Grosso, Goais, Sao Paolo and Minas Gerais especially. Week 1 Argentina/Uruguay: The major Argentinian and Uruguay croplands are overall very dry for week 1 still which again is the…
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