Tuesday Weather Package

Tuesday Weather Package

becks
Good Tuesday morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: Weather pattern over the next 2 days will consist of stout high pressure, meaning big relief from the hot and humid conditions as of late through Thursday...no notable precipitation is in the forecast: There is potential for very patchy fog/inversions the next 2 mornings under higher pressure, mostly in low-lying areas and in fields: High temps guidance next 4 days is below showing the notable cool down we've been mentioning for a while now: Next best shot for precipitation comes later Thursday and especially Friday into Saturday as a slow moving…
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7-16-18 IN/IL/OH PM Update: Hit and miss storms continue through this evening…latest info here. N.

7-16-18 IN/IL/OH PM Update: Hit and miss storms continue through this evening…latest info here. N.

becks, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio
Video: http://youtu.be/MBM9AGZGKFE?hd=1 Current radar as of 1:15: Broken line of storms forming in northwest Illinois along the cold front...additional scattered storms south of Chicago, with scattered storms bubbling up across northern Indiana and across Ohio: Forecast radar from 1PM EDT to 1am EDT shown below: Rains will be hit and miss in nature with "local" pockets of 1-2"+ possible....however, many spots see lower totals and even miss out on the rains today.
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7-13-18 Central Plains Forecast: Scattered storms increase today with local heavy rains…..storm risks continue into next week.  Details here. N.

7-13-18 Central Plains Forecast: Scattered storms increase today with local heavy rains…..storm risks continue into next week. Details here. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/dEceq52RLp8?hd=1 Scattered storms develop along a boundary draped southwest to northeast across the region especially mid-afternoon through the evening.   Rainfall amounts through Saturday morning: As we go through later Saturday afternoon through the night, we watch areas across southeast Iowa, central & northern Missouri, west into eastern Kansas for scattered heavy storms.  Forecast hourly radar from 1pm CDT Saturday to 7am CDT Sunday shown below.  Excessive rainfall forecast for Saturday shows the main areas to watch for highest storm chances Saturday:  While no model will be perfect, you can see the idea that there will be beneficial rains…
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7-12-18 Central Plains Forecast: Rainfall risks increase heading through the weekend.  Details here. N.

7-12-18 Central Plains Forecast: Rainfall risks increase heading through the weekend. Details here. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/xh1P9QHbq-I?hd=1 After a very quiet week so far, things start to change as we go throughout the next 60 hours.  Watch the video for more info on timing of rainfall, but here is a look at rain potential going throughout the next 60 hours (through 1pm CDT Saturday).  Watching for some heavy storms tonight especially in northern/northwest Nebraska, then we'll need to watch eastern Nebraska and western/northwest Iowa for heavy rain and flash flood potential as we head throughout Friday night.  Essentially, the areas that have been wet over the past month get the rains, while the areas further…
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Thursday Weather Package

Thursday Weather Package

becks
Good Thursday morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: The quiet pattern continues today with another nice, sunny day on tap for us all! Overall tomorrow trends the same way with high pressure overhead, however, in the video we did note that far northwestern and northern IL will be susceptible to ~30/40% chance for storms Friday night starting ~7-10pm CDT into Saturday morning (~0.25-0.75" with localized 1"+ far NW near IA possible)...a strong/heavy storm can't be ruled out although isolated in nature. 95% of the region stays dry tomorrow and very warm: The bigger story here is the heat that…
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7-11-18 Central Plains Forecast: Dry and hot weather continues mid-week…..becoming more active heading into the weekend and next week. N.

7-11-18 Central Plains Forecast: Dry and hot weather continues mid-week…..becoming more active heading into the weekend and next week. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/7QVXyZZyvlY?hd=1 Weather headlines: Precipitation risks will increase from late Thursday through Friday as the upper-level ridge shifts southeast to Missouri, and allows a front to enter from the northwest.  Here is a look at the set-up/rainfall potential through Friday afternoon.   As the upper ridge continues to get shoved south this weekend, this will allow scattered storm chances to increase.  Still the best shot on Saturday will remain west Kansas to Nebraska and Iowa, then from Sunday afternoon through Monday looks to be the highest risk across the area.  A west to east flow will allow for continued rainfall…
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Wednesday Weather Package

Wednesday Weather Package

becks
Good Wednesday morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: Good Wednesday morning! Today starts a 3-4 day stretch of little to no weather noted across the region as high pressure takes hold of our pattern. Models have trended a little drier vs yesterday heading into late week/weekend, we've highlighted a small area Friday morning into Friday afternoon with small potential for a few isolated storms riding around the ridge...confidence is lower here however, most of us stay completely dry and hot on Friday: We mentioned yesterday to watch for a storm cluster potential Saturday morning into the afternoon...since then models…
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7-10-18 Ohio Valley PM Update: Widely scattered, local strong storms along cold front this afternoon…latest on rainfall risks returning this weekend into next week. N.

7-10-18 Ohio Valley PM Update: Widely scattered, local strong storms along cold front this afternoon…latest on rainfall risks returning this weekend into next week. N.

becks, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio
Video: http://youtu.be/2zBbjIKhc88?hd=1 Forecast radar from 2pm to 10pm EDT shown below.  Widely scattered storms will continue to progress southward this afternoon.  I still think we can get few strong storms with a hail and wind threat.  Especially across central IN to Ohio. Here is a look at the total rainfall through tonight....areas that get under storms can get a quick 0.25" to 0.75" again very hit and miss fashion.  Areas that get under any stronger storms may see a quick 1" of rain..but that would be very isolated.   As touched on in the video....new data coming in still suggesting…
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7-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Remaining mostly dry/hot through mid-week….a more active pattern towards the weekend and next week.  Details here. N.

7-10-18 Central Plains Forecast: Remaining mostly dry/hot through mid-week….a more active pattern towards the weekend and next week. Details here. N.

Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska
Video: http://youtu.be/xQenyekAWFc?hd=1 Good Tuesday morning!  Quiet morning across the region, but we are watching strong storms just north in southwest Minnesota which continue to dive southeast.  We are increasing the risk of these storms to impact portions of northern Iowa as we go into late morning.   These are starting to show signs of weakening, and not a single computer model puts rain in Iowa, but we think the risk is there given the radar trends.   My highest confidence on that threat is in the circled red area.  Storms have been trying to back-build southwest where instability values are…
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Tuesday Weather Package

Tuesday Weather Package

becks
Good Tuesday morning!  Here are the updated 7-day forecasts: A weak front will start to bubble up some isolated to scattered storms from north to south today especially early afternoon into the evening, a couple of these may be on the stronger side across eastern Indiana into Ohio with strong wind gusts and isolated hail...not expecting this to be a widespread risk, however. A good many of us stay completely dry today, think 30% coverage at best is the right call here, plenty of sunshine on tap for today and very warm temps prior to the front moving through: Total…
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