#ILwx #INwx #OHwx Tues All Zones – Showers increase next 2 days, mixed precip working into some areas? #Thanksgiving forecast as well. Kirk.

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#ILwx #INwx #OHwx Tues All Zones – Showers increase next 2 days, mixed precip working into some areas? #Thanksgiving forecast as well. Kirk.

Synopsis: Shower coverage now extending near the IA/IL border as of 1:30pm CST, will increase in coverage east as we move through the afternoon/evening hours tonight. Temperatures staying mild today near seasonal, as they will the remainder of the week. Mixed frozen precipitation is possible across NE IN / NW OH Wednesday morning as temps dip near 30-32 in these areas, more details in the video. Otherwise a mostly cloudy, cool day with drizzle hanging around for your Thanksgiving forecast.

Today/Tomorrow: here’s a look at current showers/clover across the Midwest as of 2:30pm EST…these increase tonight into tomorrow (details in the video).

codnexlab-2km-il-vis-ani24-201611221900-100-100-16

High temps for today stay around seasonal while being slightly below normal in the norther portions of our Zones.

sfct-bwx_mw

Below is a loop of simulated radar as this system moves through into Wednesday (details on timing in the video), could see some mixed precip across NE IN / NW OH locations Wednesday morning as temps dip into the lower 30s, a few slick roadways not out of the question during the morning commute. Otherwise, temps warm into the 40s Wednesday, so prolonged slippery roads are not in the forecast.

namconus_ref_frzn_ncus_fh6-45

Rainfall totals as the cold front moves east Thursday morning will be generally 0.5-0.75″ across the Zones, with localized 1.0″+ possible across southern IL, and central/southern IN locations.

qpf_acc-bwx_mw

Near-seasonal temperatures expected for Thanksgiving this year, with mostly cloudy skies and some drizzle/fog hanging around the Zones as well. The drizzle should give away into the afternoon/evening timeframe across our area as the cold front finally exits east.

sfctmax_006h-bwx_mw

Confidence and Risk:

  • We have above average to high confidence on the timing of our showers/cloud cover over the next 2 days
  • We have above average confidence of a general 0.5-0.75″ spread of rainfall totals expected from this system, with localized higher amounts of 1.0″+ possible
  • Above average confidence in a cool and dreary Thanksgiving forecast this year, with fog/drizzle lingering around the Midwest

Today’s Video (6 min):

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