#ILwx #INwx #OHwx Thursday All Zones – Persistent Fog into the weekend, high pressure and warm weather continue! Kirk.

Home / Uncategorized / #ILwx #INwx #OHwx Thursday All Zones – Persistent Fog into the weekend, high pressure and warm weather continue! Kirk.

Key Points – Thursday, November 3, 2016 – short term

Hey good Thursday afternoon and thanks for checking out the latest all zones update, let’s take a look at current visible satellite to see how our cloud cover is shaping up into this evening. Sunshine moving in where clouds are exiting to the east, a clear sunset possible for many locations tonight.

 codnexlab-2km-il-vis-ani24-201611031730-100-100-raw

Current temperatures across the Zones reflect today’s cloud cover and frontal passage…much cooler across northern IL and IN, still mild across central/southern IL, IN and Ohio but definitely not as warm as we’ve experienced the last 2 days.

2mt11316

Fog will be an issued for the Zones Friday and Saturday mornings likely, noted by the reds and oranges on the maps below. Many areas have a good chance for reduced visibility into the morning hours…aka fog. Even a few dense fog advisories would not surprise me, especially Friday morning.Friday morning:

mgweb_wrf_20161103-120000_anc_econus_f00250000_paviationvisibility_r4km

Saturday morning…notice how it’s more of a patchy risk vs Friday’s graphic

mgweb_wrf_20161103-120000_anc_econus_f00483000_paviationvisibility_r4km

Our next shower chance across the Zones comes next Monday evening into Tuesday morning, as moisture rides clockwise around our strong southeast ridge of high pressure. Accumulations will be minimal, confidence is still average on timing and location of these showers.

ecmwf_slp_precip_ky_23

Continued warmth over the next 5 days as seen by the reds and oranges on the map below…this is a 5 day temperature anomaly map, the brighter the colors the more above normal the temperatures. 60s and 70s will continue into early to mid next week.

gfs-ens_t2mamean_us_1

Confidence and Risk:

  • High confidence high temperatures have been modified today because of the persistent cloud cover and fog over the Zones
  • Above average confidence on our fog risk Friday and Saturday mornings
  • Average confidence in our isolated shower chances Mon evening into Tues morning next week
  • High confidence that well above normal temperatures persist into next week

Today’s Video (3 min):

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