#ILwx Zones 3/4 – Near record warmth today, showers and storms Wed-Thurs…heavy rain potential? Details here! Kirk.

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Key Points – Tuesday, November 1, 2016 – long range

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

Good Tuesday morning and thanks for checking out the latest Zones 3/4 update. 

Current Satellite loop…clouds continue to move in from the west to east across both Zones:

codnexlab-2km-il-ir-ani24-201611011115-100-100-raw

Tuesday-Wednesday: Big time high temperatures to open up November…near 80s across southern Zone 3!

sfct-bwx_mw

Rain moving in from the northwest to southeast Wednesday morning into Thursday morning across the Zones…could see isolated 1.0″ or greater amounts as the front passes through.

qpf_acc-bwx_mw

Wednesday high temps more of the same…big time warmth continues

sfct-bwx_mw1

Thursday-Friday: High pressure dominates the area Thursday into the weekend…Friday morning temps could reach into the 30s across northern Zone 4

9jhwbgloop

Friday morning temps:

sfct-bwx_mw2

Long-range: positive signs in a gradual pattern shift mid-November into December…stay tuned to the long-range updates later today for more details!

gem-ens_z500amean_namer_12

Today’s Video (5 min):

[embedyt] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2nibCzNjg0[/embedyt]

Confidence and Risk:

  • High confidence in near record warmth again today
  • Above average confidence in rainfall timing Wed-Thurs as our cold front moves from the NW to the SE across the Zones
  • High confidence on continued above normal warmth on Wednesday
  • High confidence high pressure sets in this weekend allowing conditions to be very pleasant…temps on Friday morning could dip into the 30s in Zone 4
  • Average confidence that a cooler pattern shift looms mid to late November