Wed. Zone 2 Forecast: Sct’d Rain & Storm Chances Continue This Week, Heavy Rain & Flooding Threat This Weekend. JT.

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FORECAST VIDEO

Sunny to mostly sunny skies are in place across zone 2 this morning with temperatures in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. As the environment warms through the day, rain and isolated to scattered rain and storms will develop across zone 2. It looks like new storm development will start around 12-1 PM this afternoon.

6pm

6 PM EDT

Scattered rain and storms will remain possible over the next couple of days across the entire zone as the environment will be very warm and humid. While some storms could produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours, no organized severe weather is anticipated.

The big focus will be on the storm system for the weekend that will have the potential to bring very heavy rain and even flooding to portions of zone 2. This will occur as a cold front and trough move in from the northwest. This front will run into some energy from the Gulf of Mexico that will have lots of moisture with it. As these two things interact together very heavy rain and storms will develop across the area.

gfs gif

FRIDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY

Models are back and forth with precipitation totals across the forecast area. The GFS has a pretty sharp cutoff for heavy rains, as you can see only .50” is forecast in FT. Wayne, but 2.5” is forecast in Lima, OH. Overall, it’s still pretty early in the forecast period so it’s something we will have to fine-tune in the days ahead.

gfs

GFS RAINFALL

WPC RAINFALL

WPC 7 DAY RAINFALL

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