Wed. Zone 1 Forecast: Sct’d Rain & Storms Today Through Friday, Heavy Rain & Flooding Potential This Weekend. JT.

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FORECAST VIDEO

Scattered rain and storms are moving across eastern and southern portions of zone 1 this morning. None of these storms are severe, but gusty winds and heavy downpours are occurring within some of these cells.

current zone 1

Through the late morning into the early afternoon, there could be some westward development of rain/storms across central Indiana. However, the HRRR still remains a bit too aggressive with coverage. Through the afternoon and into the evening more scattered storms will develop as the environment heats up. So we will be dodging rain and storms across the forecast area before activity decreases through late in the evening into the early overnight hours.

6pm

6 PM EDT

Over the next couple of days, scattered rain and storms will remain possible. No organized severe weather is forecast, but times of gusty winds and heavy rain will be possible locally.

This weekend we will be watching for the threat of very heavy rainfall across zone 1. This will be as a cold front and upper-level trough moves in from the west and northwest. These features will pick up energy and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico late Friday night into Saturday. As this occurs, the front will slow down and/or stall out over the region this weekend. This scenario is a classic setup for heavy rain and flooding.

gfs gif

Friday Night through Mon. Evening

Right now models have a widespread 1-2.5” across the forecast area, but there will be places that get more. Overall, we are still pretty early in the forecast period and details regarding timing, placement, and amounts still need fine-tuned!

gfs

GFS Rainfall

p168i

WPC Rainfall