Another warm, humid day will be in place across zones 6 and 7 for your Monday. This will be thanks to a stationary front that is in place across the region. This same front will be the focal point for some isolated to scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms today.
Thunderstorm chances continue Tuesday, but on Wednesday some of those storms could turn severe as an upper-level trough rolls through the area. This source of lift coupled with lots of moisture and strong CAPE/Instability values of 3500-5000 J/Kg could aid storms in producing damaging winds and hail.
New rainfall totals will be hit and miss once again. While some places may end up with little to no rain over the next few days, other areas could see 3-4” or more! With a highly saturated environment and strong instability, this setup could lead to very heavy downpours and localized flooding.
Through the end of the week rain chances will stick around. The latest GFS shows many areas receiving rainfall. On average it looks like .50-.75” will be a good bet. However, as previously mention, there may be some areas that remain mostly dry.