Zones 1 & 5 Fri. Forecast: A Couple Stray Showers Today, Beautiful Weekend Ahead! JT.

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FORECAST DISCUSSION

AFTERNOON-OVERNIGHT: Sunshine is in place across the northern portions of the zones this morning, while some clouds and even a couple stray showers have moved into zone 5 in Indiana. These clouds and showers are thanks to a weakening upper-level low to the southwest.

now

Through the day the low will weaken, this will allow for the impacts on the weather across southern Indiana to become less and less.

500MBGIFTOFAY

While many locations will see sunshine through the day, some clouds may stick around south. We will also see the chance for some isolated rain showers, primarily in zone 5 and into southwest zone 1. By 2 PM the HRRR shows some of the isolated showers that will be in place across the forecast area.

2pm

Through 5-6 PM this evening a few passing showers will still be in place across western zone 5 into southwestern zone 1. However, the atmosphere is relatively dry, so I don’t expect any heavy rain with these showers.

6pm

Through the evening and into the overnight most of the showers will fade out across the region. Especially as what’s left of the upper-level low gets taken out to sea. Any new rainfall totals through this evening into the overnight will be minimal. While a couple localized areas could see perhaps .10-.20″, most locations will see less than .10″. 

rainin

Lows overnight will be in the mid 40’s east mid 50’s west.

tonlow

SATURDAY: An upper-level ridge of high pressure will build in across the eastern U.S. through the day on Saturday. This will be the dominate feature that will control the weather pattern.

SAT500

With the ridge of high pressure in place, sunny to mostly sunny skies are expected. Warm temperatures will overspread the region with highs topping out in the low to mid 70’s!

SATPANEL

SUNDAY: The ridge will really pump up across the eastern half of the nation on Sunday as we see some impressive upper-level height rises!

SUN500

At the surface the area of high pressure that was in place to the northeast will start to settle back south and west.

sunday

With the two highs in place sunny to mostly sunny skies will be in place to end the weekend. Highs will warm into the low to possibly upper 70’s across zones 1 and 5 on Sunday!

SUNPAN

MONDAY: Very nice weather looks to remain in place as we start the workweek. This will be thanks to that area of surface high pressure that will kind of “block” any low pressure systems or fronts from getting into the region.

MONDAY

For that reason, we will keep mostly sunny skies in the forecast for most of the day Monday with perhaps some clouds moving in across northern zone 1 late into the day.

MONPAN

Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 70’s once again.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: Next week models are showing yet another upper-level low getting cut off from the jet stream farther west across the Great Plains region.

ecmwf_z500a_us_7

While the models do show rain chances increasing Tuesday and through Wednesday as the upper-level low approaches, they are nowhere near as aggressive as they were with precipitaiton. These areas of rain and some storms look to be more of the isolated to scattered variety Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.

TUES

Regardless, temperatures will remain warm next week with highs still near to above average. Highs look to be in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s across the area, but that will be dependent on clouds/precipitation.

LONG-RANGE: The best chance for rain looks to come next Thursday as a low pressure system develops and moves through the region. Regardless, it doesn’t look to be a real soaking rain, but more of a scattered rain/storm event.

8AMTHU-8PMFRI
Thu 8 AM – Fri 8 PM

However, temperatures don’t look to cool too much behind the system. High temperatures look to remain above average in many places next week.

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Temperature Anomaly