Zone/commercial option. Video forecast on rain focus next 2 weeks & mid month pattern flip? #AGwx

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Zone/commercial option. Video forecast on rain focus next 2 weeks & mid month pattern flip?

GEFS Finally catching on to warmth but its precip forecast may be incorrect? Details here. 

gfs-ens_T2ma5d_us_12

12z GFS total rain next 2 weeks..has the right idea but is it too far west?

12z gfs 4515

Video analysis: