Zone 6 & 7 Fri. Discussion: Nice Saturday, Rain & Storms For Easter, Warm Next Week. JT.

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FORECAST DISCUSSION

AFTERNOON – OVERNIGHT: An area of high pressure will continue to build into the forecast area through the daytime hours today. As it does it will bring drier in into the forecast area with it.

surface

Clouds do continue to linger across zone 6 and 7 this morning and will likely continue through late morning to mid-day. However, as the dry air works in with the area of high pressure it will erode the clouds giving way to some sunshine this afternoon and evening.

4-5pm

This evening into the overnight I expect mostly clear skies across the forecast areas. However, overnight I won’t rule out the development of some very patchy fog as models are hinting at the potential for it. Regardless, I think this will be patchy at best overnight.

Lows tonight across the forecast zones in the mid to upper 30’s.

SATURDAY: We will be between two weather systems through the daytime hours on Saturday. This will be as the area of high pressure moves to the northeast and an area of low pressure develops to the regions west.

sat

Regardless, Saturday looks to a very nice day across zones 6 and 7 with sunny to mostly sunny skies in place. There could be a few more clouds across zone 7, but overall there will be plenty of sunshine.

SATPAN

Highs on Saturday will be in the low 60’s north to upper 60’s south. Winds will also be pretty calm with a southeasterly wind at 5-15 mph.

Overnight Saturday into Sunday clouds will start to overspread the forecast area from west to east. While it may not be completely overcast, I would expect partly to mostly cloudy skies by early Sunday morning.

EASTER: We will start Easter Sunday dry across zones 6 and 7. However, there will be a weak area of low pressure and a trailing cold front to the north and west. This will have an impact on the forecast by late in the day.

7-8 AM Sunday morning we will have clouds around, but we will be dry as the cold front looks to be in place west of the forecast zones.

Through late morning to mid-day the cold front will start to advance through the forecast area. By 12-1 PM isolated to widely scattered areas of rain will be possible across the forecast zones.

SUN1PM

The front will continue off to the east through the afternoon. As it does rain chances will increase with scattered areas of rain and some t’storms possible through the afternoon hours.

SUN4PM

By 7-8 PM the cold front looks to have moved off the east of zones 6 and 7. The rain at this time looks to be mostly out of the state and into Indiana.

SUN7PM

Overall rainfall totals do not look overly impressive. The NAM/GFS/EURO models all suggest between .10 – .30” of new rainfall through Monday morning. The EURO is a bit more aggressive with .40” across zone 7. Overall, not expecting any major rainfall based off latest model guidance.

GFSRAIN

NAM12KM

Highs on Sunday will be in the low 50’s to low 60’s. Winds will be gusty at times on Sunday, especially in the afternoon/evening with the cold front. Wind gusts up to 30 mph will be possible.

SUNPAN

Sunday night into Monday clouds will decrease as the area of low pressure and cold front depart off to the east.

However, with cold air moving in behind the front temperatures will fall into the low 30’s to low 40’s.

MONDAY: Another area of high pressure will start to build into the forecast zones Monday. As it does any leftover cloud cover should erode with sunny to mostly sunny skies forecast.

MON

Highs on Monday will be in the mid 50’s to around 60.

MONPAN

MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK: The area of high pressure will remain in control of the weather for the most part Tuesday. However, there will be another low pressure system developing to the west.

For the most part, Tuesday will be dry with only an outside chance for a stray shower.

Rain chances will increase through the day into the overnight Wednesday. This will be as that area of low pressure and cold front move closer to the forecast area.

Temperatures both days do look pretty warm with highs in the low to upper 60’s for the most part. Perhaps low 70’s could be achieved on Wednesday in southern zones.

Wednesday night and Thursday rain and thunderstorm chances will increase across the regions as another cold front swings through. So by mid to late in the week precipitation will be more likely.

THURSDAY

7 DAY FORECAST

SATURDAY: SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50’S NORTH TO UPPER 60’S SOUTH. WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30’S NORTH TO MID 40’S SOUTH.

SUNDAY: INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A 30-40% CHANCE OF EVENING RAIN & T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOW 50’S WEST TO UPPER 60’S EAST. WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 5-15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN & T’STORMS, POSSIBLY A LATE SNOW SHOWER NORTH. LOWS IN THE LOW 30’S NORTH TO LOW 40’S SOUTH.

MONDAY: DECREASING CLOUDS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50’S TO AROUND 60. WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 6-12 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO UPPER 30’S.

TUESDAY: SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50’S TO UPPER 60’S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 5-15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20% CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30’S TO MID 40’S.

WEDNESDAY: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20% CHANCE OF ISOLATED RAIN AND T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60’S TO MID 70’S.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20-30% CHANCE OF RAIN & T’STORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50’S TO LOW 60’S.

THURSDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY 30% CHANCE OF RAIN & T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60’S TO LOW 70’S.

THURSDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN & STORMS EAST. LOWS IN THE 40’S.

FRIDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER. HIGHS IN THE 50’S.

FRIDAY NIGHT: PARTLY CLEAR WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30’S TO MID 40’S.