Zone 1/5 Forecast: Heavy Rain & Storms With Flooding Concerns. JT. #INWX #INDY

Home / Uncategorized / Zone 1/5 Forecast: Heavy Rain & Storms With Flooding Concerns. JT. #INWX #INDY

YOU’LL NOTICE WE ARE WORKING ON IMPROVING THE DELIVERY METHOD OF THESE FORECASTS WITH BETTER MAPS AND MORE CONSISTENCY. LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE SUGGESTIONS! M.

Video forecast: 

Forecast Discussion

AFTERNOON – OVERNIGHT: Clouds and some showers continue across zones 1 and 5 today. This as a cold front is in place to the regions west.

currently

Through the afternoon into early evening isolated areas of rain will continue to move across both zones 1 and 5.

By 5-6 PM a more concentrated area of rain and perhaps a couple t’storms will be entering southwestern Indiana. As these move into the forecast area they will be capable of producing heavy rain.

6PM

Through the evening rain will continue to the east and northeast across Indiana and into Ohio. By 9-10 PM most of the forecast zones will be experiencing rain. Heavy rain looks to be a good bet across southern zone 1 and zone 6, especially in southern Indiana.

10PM

Overnight rain and a few thunderstorms will remain possible across zones 1 and 5. While they may decrease in coverage, the overall chance will remain high.

3AM

Overnight lows will be in the mid 50’s north to near 60 south.

THURSDAY: Another impulse of rain will move in from the southwest Thursday morning bringing greater coverage and heavy rain chances with it. That looks to arrive across Indiana between 7-9 AM Thursday morning.

THU9AM

Heavy rain looks to remain likely through mid-day to early Thursday afternoon across Indiana.

By 4-5 PM the heaviest rain looks to have transitioned off into Ohio while lighter rain continues across Indiana.

THU5PM

By 7-8 PM an area of high pressure will start to ridge into the forecast area from the northwest. This will help bring the rain to an end from northwest to southeast.

Highs on Thursday will be in upper 50’s north to upper 60’s south. Winds will be a bit strong at times with gusts of 25 mph possible.

wedpan

By 10 PM Thursday night most of the rain will be out of the region as the area of high pressure builds into the zones.

THU10PM

Through tomorrow night some impressive rainfall totals are anticipated across Indiana and Ohio. The latest NAM 4km shows a swath of 1.5-2.25” totals across Indiana and into Ohio. Across southern Indiana some totals of 2.5-3.4” are possible locally! The latest WPC map has a pretty good handle on exactly what to anticipate with 2-3” of rain possible across western and southwestern Indiana.

GFS

NAM4KM

WPCINDIANA

With this kind of rainfall potential flooding concerns do arise, especially across southern Indiana. Flooding along rivers, creeks, streams, and low-lying fields can be expected. While there are currently no flood watches or warnings in place across zone 1 or 5 I will not be surprised to see them at some point.

FRIDAY: The area of high pressure looks to remain in control of the weather on Friday. So while I won’t rule out a stray shower, most of the day will be dry. While some sunshine may get through across northern portions of zone 1, I think mostly cloudy conditions should be expected.

FRI

Highs on Friday will be in the upper 50’s north to mid 60’s south.

fripan

Friday night a weak area of low pressure will be moving to the west of the region. However, it will also bring a warm front northward into southern Indiana overnight.

As the warm front moves north there will be enough lift that some rain will develop late overnight Friday into the early morning hours Saturday. By 7-8 Am Saturday morning some scattered areas of rain will be in place across zone 6.

SAT7AM

WEEKEND: The warm front will continue lifting northward through the region Saturday. While this will allow for a warmer, moister flow of air, it will also bring rain chances in with it.

satpan

Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s.

Sunday we will continue on that southerly flow. So temperatures will be warm once again with highs in the low 60’s north to near 70 south.

Scattered areas of rain and a few thunderstorms will be likely through the day on Sunday across zones 1 and 6. So while I don’t think it will be a total wash out, make sure to check on the weather if you have outdoor plans.

SUN4PM

NEXT WEEK: A much stronger area of low pressure will be getting its act together to the regions west next week. While chances for rain will remain in the forecast for Monday, this low should allow for a temporary break in the rain chances Monday night and Tuesday. Even some sunshine is possible Tuesday.

montue

Highs will be much above average again next week with even some models indicating upper 70’s to near 80 not being out of the question by mid-week!

7 DAY FORECAST

THURSDAY: CLOUDY WITH A 70-80% CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN & SOME T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50’S NORTH TO UPPER 60’S SOUTH. SOUTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AT 5-15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20-30% CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS POSSIBLE SOUTH. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30’S NORTH TO LOW 50’S SOUTH.

FRIDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY NORTH TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SOUTH, 20% CHANCE OF RAIN SOUTH. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50’S NORTH TO MID 60’S SOUTH. WINDS FROM THE EAST AT 6-12 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOW 40’S NORTH TO MID 50’S SOUTH.

SATURDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20-30% CHANCE OF RAIN & T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60’S TO MID 70’S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 5-15 MPH. WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AT 5-10 MPH GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: CLOUDY WITH A 30-40% CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50’S NORTH TO AROUND 60 SOUTH.

SUNDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30-40% CHANCE OF RAIN AND T’STORMS POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOW 60’S NORTH TO AROUND 70 SOUTH. SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 6-12 MPH, GUSTING TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOW 50’S NORTH TO UPPER 50’S SOUTH.

MONDAY: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20-30% CHANCE OF RAIN AND A FEW T’STORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60’S NORTH TO LOW 70’S SOUTH.

MONDAY NIGHT: DECREASING CLOUDS WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40’S NORTH TO MID 50’S SOUTH.

TUESDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60’S NORTH TO MID/UPPER 70’S SOUTH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 50’S NORTH TO LOW 60’S SOUTHWEST.

WEDNESDAY: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY, CHANCE OF RAIN AND T’STORMS SOUTH. HIGHS IN THE LOW 70’S NORTH TO NEAR 80 SOUTH!

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50’S WEST TO MID 60’S EAST.